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Europa League
Referee: I Pajač
Elfsborg
S U U T S
1–0
Full-time
Nice
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 14/6 matches
Win Ø 29%
57%
0%
Points per game
1,9
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
36%
67%
Both score Ø 60%
36%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,1
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,77 xG 1,70
32% Possession 68%
9 Shots 22
1 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Elfsborg Nice
Terry Yegbe 🟨
13′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 G. Henriksson ⚽
B. Zeneli
62′
67′
🔁 A. Abdi
↦ M. Bard
67′
🔁 E. Guessand
↦ M. Cho
67′
🔁 J. Clauss
↦ I. Camara
75′
🔁 Y. Ndayishimiye
↦ Y. Nandjou
L. Richtnér 🔁
↦ G. Rapp
78′
R. Kaib 🔁
↦ A. Zeneli
78′
P. Frick 🔁
↦ J. Abdullai
84′
Simon Hedlund 🟨
88′
89′
🟨 Tom Louchet
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Elfsborg

3-4-3
31 I. Pettersson G
8 S. Holmén D
4 G. Henriksson D
2 T. Yegbe D
15 S. Hedlund M
27 B. Zeneli M
18 A. Qasem M
23 N. Hult M
9 A. Zeneli F
14 J. Abdullai F
20 G. Rapp F
Bench (12)
26 L. Richtnér
19 R. Kaib
17 P. Frick
13 J. Larsson
7 J. Thomasen
11 E. Guðmundsson
5 F. Aronsson
12 E. Holten
29 I. Buhari
1 M. Uppenberg
28 L. Östman
30 M. Bundgaard

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Nice

3-1-4-2
31 M. Dupé G
33 A. Mendy D
5 Mohamed Abdelmonem D
42 Y. Nandjou D
36 I. Camara M
20 T. Louchet M
19 B. Bouanani M
10 S. Diop M
26 M. Bard M
25 M. Cho F
15 Y. Moukoko F
Bench (11)
2 A. Abdi
29 E. Guessand
92 J. Clauss
55 Y. Ndayishimiye
34 F. Bousnina
77 T. Boulhendi
48 L. Monteiro
4 Dante
43 M. Youssouf
39 E. Pereira da Silva
1 M. Bułka

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Pajač · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.