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Allsvenskan

Referee: O Johnson

Elfsborg

S T S T T

3–0

Full-time

Brommapojkarna

U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Brommapojkarna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 32%

38%

25%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

62%

58%

Both score Ø 61%

54%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

21 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 4

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 9. · Brommapojkarna 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	13	10	2	1	+25	+12.8	32
2	Djurgarden	12	8	1	3	+13	+0.3	25
3	Mjallby	13	7	2	4	+7	+1.0	23
4	Hammarby	12	7	0	5	+6	+1.7	21
5	GAIS	12	7	0	5	-1	-2.5	21
6	Hacken	13	6	2	5	+2	-2.4	20
7	Halmstad	12	6	0	6	-2	-1.9	18
8	AIK	12	5	2	5	-4	+0.1	17
9	Elfsborg	13	5	1	7	+1	+2.6	16
10	Sirius	12	4	3	5	-1	+3.5	15
11	Brommapojkarna	12	3	6	3	-2	+2.1	15
12	Varnamo	12	4	2	6	-4	-4.9	14
13	Goteborg	12	4	2	6	-6	-4.1	14
14	Norrkoping	12	3	2	7	-17	-5.6	11
15	Kalmar	12	3	1	8	-11	-5.7	10
16	Vasteras SK	12	2	2	8	-6	+3.0	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	6	6	0	0	+15	+5.5	18
2	AIK	6	5	0	1	+10	+2.1	15
3	Hammarby	6	5	0	1	+9	+1.2	15
4	GAIS	6	5	0	1	+4	+1.0	15
5	Mjallby	7	4	2	1	+6	+0.7	14
6	Elfsborg	6	4	1	1	+10	+2.4	13
7	Hacken	7	4	1	2	+5	-1.7	13
8	Djurgarden	7	4	1	2	+3	-2.6	13
9	Halmstad	6	4	0	2	+5	+2.0	12
10	Sirius	6	2	2	2	+3	+3.5	8
11	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-5	-3.6	7
12	Norrkoping	5	2	0	3	-6	-3.2	6
13	Brommapojkarna	6	1	3	2	-7	-0.4	6
14	Kalmar	6	1	1	4	-4	-2.0	4
15	Vasteras SK	6	1	1	4	-5	+1.9	4
16	Varnamo	6	0	1	5	-10	-2.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	7	4	2	1	+10	+7.3	14
2	Varnamo	6	4	1	1	+6	-2.4	13
3	Djurgarden	5	4	0	1	+10	+2.8	12
4	Brommapojkarna	6	2	3	1	+5	+2.4	9
5	Mjallby	6	3	0	3	+1	+0.4	9
6	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.5	7
7	Hacken	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.7	7
8	Sirius	6	2	1	3	-4	-0.0	7
9	Hammarby	6	2	0	4	-3	+0.5	6
10	GAIS	6	2	0	4	-5	-3.5	6
11	Kalmar	6	2	0	4	-7	-3.7	6
12	Halmstad	6	2	0	4	-7	-3.9	6
13	Norrkoping	7	1	2	4	-11	-2.4	5
14	Vasteras SK	6	1	1	4	-1	+1.1	4
15	Elfsborg	7	1	0	6	-9	+0.2	3
16	AIK	6	0	2	4	-14	-2.0	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.