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Europa League
Referee: António Nobre
Elfsborg
S S U U T
1–0
Full-time
Qarabag
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 13/5 matches
Win Ø 37%
54%
20%
Points per game
1,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
38%
100%
Both score Ø 49%
38%
60%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,52 xG 1,02
30% Possession 70%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Elfsborg Qarabag
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Qasem ⚽
B. Zeneli
57′
60′
🟨 Bədavi Huseynov
66′
🔁 Leandro Andrade
↦ O. Kashchuk
G. Rapp 🔁
↦ A. Zeneli
70′
E. Holten 🔁
↦ M. Baidoo
77′
R. Kaib 🔁
↦ A. Qasem
77′
77′
🔁 E. Addai
↦ Júlio Romão
78′
🔁 T. Bayramov
↦ M. Vešović
79′
🟨 Juninho Vieira
Rami Kaib 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Marko Janković
86′
🔁 Patrick Andrade
↦ M. Janković
86′
🔁 N. Axundzadə
↦ E. Cəfərquliyev
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Elfsborg

3-4-3
31 I. Pettersson G
8 S. Holmén D
29 I. Buhari D
2 T. Yegbe D
15 S. Hedlund M
27 B. Zeneli M
16 T. Ouma M
23 N. Hult M
9 A. Zeneli F
10 M. Baidoo F
18 A. Qasem F
Bench (12)
20 G. Rapp
12 E. Holten
19 R. Kaib
4 G. Henriksson
26 L. Richtnér
5 F. Aronsson
13 J. Larsson
30 M. Bundgaard
1 M. Uppenberg
28 L. Östman
14 J. Abdullai
7 J. Thomasen

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 M. Kochalski G
29 M. Vešović D
2 Matheus Silva D
55 B. Hüseynov D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
8 M. Janković M
6 Júlio Romão M
21 O. Kashchuk M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
18 Juninho F
Bench (10)
15 Leandro Andrade
11 E. Addai
27 T. Bayramov
66 Patrick Andrade
90 N. Axundzadə
97 F. Buntić
20 R. Almeyda
12 S. Məmmədzadə
22 M. Qurbanlı
30 A. Hüseynov

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.