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Superligaen

Referee: M Tykgaard

Viborg

S S S U S

3–3

Full-time

Midtjylland

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,7

4,0

Scored

3,2

3,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 50%

41%

59%

Points per game

1,4

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

71%

59%

Both score Ø 62%

65%

59%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,6

2,6

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,15 xG 1,73

39% Possession 61%

10 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 9

4 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Viborg 7. · Midtjylland 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	17	11	4	2	+17	+14.5	37
2	Midtjylland	17	10	5	2	+27	+4.5	35
3	Brondby	17	10	1	6	+11	+9.5	31
4	FC Copenhagen	17	8	4	5	+6	+13.4	28
5	Sonderjyske	17	7	5	5	+3	-1.9	26
6	Odense	18	7	5	6	-5	+5.3	26
7	Viborg	17	7	2	8	+2	-2.2	23
8	Nordsjaelland	17	7	0	10	-8	-3.6	21
9	Randers FC	17	5	4	8	-6	+2.1	19
10	Silkeborg	17	5	4	8	-9	-11.7	19
11	Fredericia	18	4	2	12	-22	-17.8	14
12	Vejle	17	2	4	11	-16	-12.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	9	6	3	0	+19	+8.0	21
2	Aarhus	9	6	1	2	+8	+13.4	19
3	Sonderjyske	9	5	2	2	+6	+0.8	17
4	Brondby	9	5	1	3	+5	+5.1	16
5	Odense	9	4	2	3	-1	+5.4	14
6	FC Copenhagen	8	3	4	1	+3	+9.1	13
7	Viborg	8	4	0	4	+2	-2.9	12
8	Nordsjaelland	8	4	0	4	+2	+3.6	12
9	Silkeborg	9	3	2	4	-3	-2.2	11
10	Randers FC	8	3	2	3	-3	-1.1	11
11	Vejle	8	2	2	4	-1	-3.4	8
12	Fredericia	9	2	1	6	-12	-7.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	8	5	3	0	+9	+1.1	18
2	Brondby	8	5	0	3	+6	+4.4	15
3	FC Copenhagen	9	5	0	4	+3	+4.3	15
4	Midtjylland	8	4	2	2	+8	-3.6	14
5	Odense	9	3	3	3	-4	-0.1	12
6	Viborg	9	3	2	4	+0	+0.7	11
7	Sonderjyske	8	2	3	3	-3	-2.8	9
8	Nordsjaelland	9	3	0	6	-10	-7.2	9
9	Randers FC	9	2	2	5	-3	+3.3	8
10	Silkeborg	8	2	2	4	-6	-9.5	8
11	Fredericia	9	2	1	6	-10	-10.5	7
12	Vejle	9	0	2	7	-15	-8.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.