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Pro League

Referee: B Put

RWD Molenbeek

S T U S U

2–3

Full-time

St. Gilloise

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RWD Molenbeek St. Gilloise

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 7/3 matches

Win Ø 55%

43%

67%

Points per game

1,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

57%

67%

Both score Ø 45%

57%

33%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,97 xG 1,94

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 8

1 Offside 5

8 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RWD Molenbeek 3. · St. Gilloise 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	6	4	1	1	+13	+9.3	13
2	Cercle Brugge	5	4	0	1	+5	+5.5	12
3	RWD Molenbeek	7	3	2	2	-7	-5.5	11
4	Anderlecht	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.7	10
5	Gent	4	3	1	0	+3	+0.8	10
6	Antwerp	5	2	3	0	+9	+3.0	9
7	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+4	-0.5	7
8	Eupen	7	2	1	4	-6	-7.0	7
9	St. Gilloise	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.2	6
10	Standard	6	1	3	2	+0	-4.7	6
11	Genk	4	1	2	1	+3	+6.1	5
12	St Truiden	5	1	2	2	-2	-2.9	5
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	2	3	-4	+1.9	5
14	Charleroi	7	0	4	3	-5	-3.7	4
15	Kortrijk	6	0	2	4	-11	-0.0	2
16	Westerlo	5	0	1	4	-6	-3.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gent	3	3	0	0	+3	+0.8	9
2	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+8	+5.4	7
3	Mechelen	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.8	6
4	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
5	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.2	6
6	RWD Molenbeek	3	2	0	1	-2	-2.3	6
7	Antwerp	3	1	2	0	+6	+2.1	5
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
9	Eupen	4	1	1	2	-5	-4.5	4
10	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
11	Charleroi	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.6	3
12	Genk	3	0	2	1	-1	+3.5	2
13	Kortrijk	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.2	2
14	Standard	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.1	1
15	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0
16	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+5	+4.0	6
2	Cercle Brugge	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.9	6
3	Standard	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.6	5
4	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.5	5
5	RWD Molenbeek	4	1	2	1	-5	-3.2	5
6	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.8	4
7	Anderlecht	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
8	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
9	Eupen	3	1	0	2	-1	-2.5	3
10	St. Gilloise	2	1	0	1	-3	+2.2	3
11	Gent	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
12	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
13	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.7	1
14	Charleroi	4	0	1	3	-5	-4.3	1
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	1	2	-6	+1.9	1
16	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-10	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.