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Taça de Portugal
6–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

São João Ver Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,7
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
3,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caldas 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 CF Os Belenenses 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 AD Marco 09 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Ovarense 2 1 1 0 +6 4
5 Peniche 1 1 0 0 +8 3
6 Sacavenense 1 1 0 0 +7 3
7 Lusitano Évora 1911 1 1 0 0 +6 3
8 Atlético Malveira 1 1 0 0 +6 3
9 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 CD Olivais e Moscavide 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Trofense 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Felgueiras 1932 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Vianense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Moncarapachense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 FC Serpa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Naval 1893 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Salgueiros 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Gouveia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 O Elvas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Vila Meã 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Rebordosa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Chaves 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Correlhã 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Farense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Vila Real 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Brito 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Oriental Lisboa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Sintrense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Amarante 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Machico 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Anadia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Portimonense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Mortágua 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Os Marialvas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Comércio Indústria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Monção 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 1º Dezembro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Vila Caíz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Espinho 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Celoricense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Nazarenos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Castrense 2 1 0 1 -4 3
44 SC Covilha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Marinhense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Samora Correir 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Charneca Caparica 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Olímpico do Montijo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Camacha 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Maria da Fonte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Alcochetense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Vizela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Tirsense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Lagoa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 AR São Martinho 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Castro Daire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Vitória de Sernache 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Carregal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Academica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Juventude Évora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Vilaverdense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Quarteirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Amora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Ribeira Brava 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Florgrade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Cinfães 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Celeirós 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Sourense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Pontassolense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Beira-Mar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Aparecida GO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Leça 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Paredes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Valpaços 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Vidago 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Valenciano 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Lusitânia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 Viana Alentejo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Portel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Fátima 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Académico do Fundão 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Varzim 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 Sanjoanense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 AD Portomosense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
86 Fayal 1 0 0 1 -5 0
87 SC Celoricense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
88 Urzelinense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
89 Lajense 2 0 0 2 -7 0
90 Rabo Peixe 1 0 0 1 -7 0
91 Ferreira Zêzere 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

São João Ver Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1–0 J. Serrao
14′
26′
M. Castelhano 1–1
2–1 Jota
30′
3–1 J. Serrao
43′
Half-time 4–1
4–1 P. Marques
59′
75′
F. Allysson 4–2
5–2 Erick Gabriel
80′
6–2 R. Valente
87′
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

São João Ver

Coach: Pedro Lomba

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

Coach: Ricardo Vargas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.