KNVB Beker
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Hsc 21
Koninklijke HFC
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hoogeveen
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 |
Hsc 21
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 3 |
Eemdijk
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |
Dovo
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 5 |
Sportlust '46
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 |
FC Lisse
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |
ROHDA Raalte
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 |
Hoek
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 9 |
Halsteren
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 10 |
GVVV Veenendaal
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 11 |
Capelle
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 12 |
Gemert
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |
Sparta Nijkerk
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 6 |
| 14 |
SC Genemuiden
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 15 |
Koninklijke HFC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 16 |
Roda
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 17 |
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 18 |
Kozakken Boys
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 19 |
De Treffers
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 20 |
Zwolle
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 21 |
Heerenveen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 22 |
Excelsior '31
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 23 |
Kloetinge
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 24 |
Hercules
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 25 |
Spakenburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 26 |
Almere City
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 27 |
FC OSS
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 28 |
ASWH
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 29 |
UDI '19
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 30 |
Barendrecht
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 31 |
Roosendaal
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 32 |
Volendam
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 33 |
DVS 33 Ermelo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 34 |
Meerssen
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 35 |
For Sittard
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 36 |
't Zand
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 37 |
TEC
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 38 |
Noordwijk
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 39 |
HHC
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 40 |
HZVV
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 41 |
SVV Scheveningen
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 42 |
URK
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 43 |
ARC
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 44 |
Groene Ster
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 45 |
Den Bosch
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 46 |
Den Haag
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 47 |
Heino
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 48 |
De Foresters
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 49 |
Katwijk
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 50 |
Vitesse
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 51 |
VVOG
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 52 |
VV Scherpenzeel
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 53 |
Blauw Geel
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 54 |
Poortugaal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 55 |
Quick Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 56 |
Huizen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 57 |
UNA
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 58 |
Vvsb
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 59 |
Zwaluwen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 60 |
Harkemase Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 61 |
Westlandia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 62 |
Ijsselmeervogels
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 63 |
Rijnvogels
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 64 |
De Graafschap
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 65 |
Aalsmeer
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 66 |
Mierlo-Hout
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 67 |
TOGB
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 68 |
ACV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 69 |
Walcheren
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 70 |
ADO '20
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 71 |
Staphorst
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 72 |
SteDoCo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 73 |
AWC
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 74 |
Juliana '31
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 75 |
RKAV Volendam
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 76 |
Sportclub 25
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 77 |
Helmond Sport
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 78 |
Hollandia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 79 |
VVV Venlo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 80 |
DVO
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 81 |
Olde Veste '54
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 82 |
FC Emmen
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 83 |
GOES
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 84 |
Kampong
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 85 |
Dongen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 86 |
Erp
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 87 |
Velocitas
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: Jeroen Kiepman
Coach: Dennis van den IJssel
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hsc 21
't Zand
Olde Veste '54
Hsc 21
Capelle
Hsc 21
Hsc 21
Harkemase Boys
Hsc 21
RKAV Volendam
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.