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KNVB Beker
Referee: A Wolff
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sparta Nijkerk 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Sportlust '46 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 TEC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Hercules 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Eemdijk 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Poortugaal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Rijnvogels 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Ijsselmeervogels 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Hoek 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Dovo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Vvsb 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 OJC Rosmalen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Quick '20 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Achilles Veen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Excelsior Maassluis 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 SC Genemuiden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 HBC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Kolping Boys 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Smitshoek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 FC Lisse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Elinkwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Olde Veste '54 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 SDC Putten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Kloetinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Meerssen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 URK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 GOES 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 De Bilt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
35 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
36 Forum Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
37 ROHDA Raalte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
38 Laar 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Capelle Hsc 21
20′
M. Iallouchen 0–1
Half-time 0–1
M. Akdeniz 🔁
↦ M. Frimpong
46′
D. van der Heijden 🔁
↦ J. Pollemans
61′
69′
🔁 S. Ottink
↦ Z. Erkılınç
1–1 V. Schippers
69′
79′
🔁 M. Klein Poelhuis
↦ Y. Verheij
90′
🔁 Cenk Uguz
↦ S. Brand
90′
🔁 J. Vonk
↦ M. Iallouchen
100′
🔁 S. Bari
↦ L. Schepers
107′
🔁 S. Holsink
↦ C. Radstake
2–1 F. Waandels
107′
R. Purvis 🔁
↦ V. Schippers
108′
J. Noorland 🔁
↦ F. Waandels
116′
3–1 D. van der Heijden
120′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Capelle

12 J. Kusters
25 A. de Vries
22 M. Jones
5 B. van Eijk
3 J. Pollemans
10 V. Schippers
14 Najim Haidary
6 I. Touré
8 L. Bosscha
19 F. Waandels
18 M. Frimpong
Bench (9)
27 M. Akdeniz
9 D. van der Heijden
7 R. Purvis
23 J. Noorland
2 A. Metin
11 F. Zeldenrust
1 L. Bleijenberg
24 T. Dekker
21 M. Maior Oliveira

Coach: K. Vink

Hsc 21

25 T. Terhalle
3 M. Wensing
4 M. Schrijver
17 Y. Verheij
11 B. ter Hogt
6 L. Schepers
16 C. Radstake
8 S. Brand
22 Z. Erkılınç
9 M. Iallouchen
18 A. Ben Lahcen
Bench (9)
7 S. Ottink
27 M. Klein Poelhuis
10 Cenk Uguz
23 J. Vonk
12 S. Bari
21 S. Holsink
1 B. Peterman
19 C. Kaptein
26 R. van der Velde Bouwhuis

Coach: D. Nijhof

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.