Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Koninklijke HFC
ARC
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hoogeveen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Hercules
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |
Kozakken Boys
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |
Eemdijk
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |
Dovo
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 6 |
Excelsior '31
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sportlust '46
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 8 |
ROHDA Raalte
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 9 |
Kloetinge
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 10 |
Hsc 21
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 11 |
Hoek
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 12 |
HZVV
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 13 |
't Zand
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 14 |
UDI '19
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 15 |
Halsteren
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 16 |
Noordwijk
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 17 |
Roosendaal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 18 |
SVV Scheveningen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 |
DVS 33 Ermelo
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 20 |
ASWH
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 21 |
Meerssen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 22 |
TEC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 |
Gemert
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 24 |
ARC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 25 |
Capelle
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 26 |
URK
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Sparta Nijkerk
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 28 |
FC Lisse
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 29 |
SC Genemuiden
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 30 |
Heino
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 31 |
Groene Ster
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 32 |
De Foresters
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 33 |
VV Scherpenzeel
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 34 |
Blauw Geel
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 35 |
VVOG
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 36 |
Poortugaal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 37 |
Huizen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 38 |
UNA
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 39 |
Vvsb
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 40 |
Zwaluwen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 41 |
Harkemase Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 42 |
Westlandia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 43 |
Ijsselmeervogels
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 44 |
Rijnvogels
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 45 |
Aalsmeer
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 46 |
Mierlo-Hout
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 47 |
TOGB
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 48 |
ACV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 49 |
Walcheren
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 50 |
ADO '20
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 51 |
Staphorst
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 52 |
SteDoCo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 53 |
AWC
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 54 |
Juliana '31
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 55 |
FC Emmen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 56 |
Sportclub 25
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 57 |
Hollandia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 58 |
DVO
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 59 |
Olde Veste '54
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 60 |
GOES
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 61 |
Kampong
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 62 |
Dongen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 63 |
Erp
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 64 |
Velocitas
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: Dennis van den IJssel
Coach: M. Evers
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
PSV Eindhoven
Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC
FC Emmen
Poortugaal
Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC
Go Ahead Eagles
Kloetinge
Koninklijke HFC
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.