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Ligue 2
Referee: Geoffrey Kubler
Pau FC
T T U U S
1–2
Full-time
Le Mans
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Le Mans
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
43%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
57%
36%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 5. · Le Mans 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 14 8 4 2 +12 28
2 Red Star 14 8 3 3 +6 27
3 St Etienne 14 8 2 4 +10 26
4 Montpellier 14 7 3 4 +5 24
5 Pau FC 14 6 5 3 -1 23
6 Reims 14 6 4 4 +6 22
7 Le Mans 14 5 6 3 +2 21
8 Dunkerque 14 5 5 4 +8 20
9 Guingamp 14 5 5 4 -2 20
10 Grenoble 14 4 5 5 -1 17
11 Clermont 14 4 5 5 -4 17
12 Annecy 14 4 4 6 +0 16
13 Rodez 14 4 4 6 -6 16
14 Amiens 14 4 3 7 -4 15
15 Nancy 14 4 3 7 -6 15
16 Laval 13 2 6 5 -5 12
17 Boulogne 14 3 3 8 -9 12
18 Bastia 13 1 4 8 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pau FC Le Mans
1–0 R. Touzghar
T. Pouilly
5′
27′
J. Ruiz 2–0
own goal
Omar Sissoko 🟨
35′
Steeve Beusnard 🟨
38′
39′
D. Gueye 2–1
Giovani Versini 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–1
51′
🟨 Antoine Rabillard
K. Dong 🔁
↦ R. Messi
56′
59′
🔁 M. Rossignol
↦ M. Robin
59′
🔁 E. Colas
↦ A. Rabillard
A. Bobichon 🔁
↦ R. Touzghar
66′
C. Fall 🔁
↦ J. Ruiz
66′
O. Sadik 🔁
↦ O. Sissoko
66′
68′
🟨 Edwin Quarshie
69′
🔁 A. Ribelin
↦ L. Calodat
N. Glossoa 🔁
↦ T. Pouilly
78′
81′
🔁 I. Hammoudi
↦ E. Quarshie
81′
🔁 B. Oggad
↦ D. Gueye
87′
🟨 Izhak Hammoudi
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Pau FC

4-1-4-1
30 E. Salles G
2 T. Pouilly D
23 A. Briancon D
25 J. Ruiz D
3 J. Kalulu D
97 D. Meddah M
10 G. Versini M
21 S. Beusnard M
84 R. Touzghar M
7 R. Messi M
17 O. Sissoko F
Bench (7)
40 T. Paradowski
19 Kante
14 A. Bobichon
6 C. Fall
9 K. Dong
26 N. Glossoa
18 O. Sadik

Coach: Nicolas Usaï

Le Mans

5-3-2
98 N. Kocik G
18 L. Buades D
21 T. Eyoum D
3 I. Cossier D
5 H. Voyer D
22 L. Calodat D
24 M. Robin M
8 A. Lauray M
6 E. Quarshie M
9 A. Rabillard F
25 D. Gueye F
Bench (7)
1 E. Hatfout
31 N. Boisse
12 A. Ribelin
32 I. Hammoudi
27 M. Rossignol
28 E. Colas
26 B. Oggad

Coach: Patrick Videira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,50
U
3,10
B ✓
2,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,06
U2,5
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.