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Ligue 2

Referee: Tifenn Leprodhomme

Guingamp

U U T U S

2–2

Full-time

Pau FC

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Pau FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 42%

38%

46%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

62%

54%

Both score Ø 50%

54%

46%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

52% Possession 48%

9 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

6 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 9. · Pau FC 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	13	8	4	1	+13	28
2	Red Star	13	8	2	3	+6	26
3	Montpellier	14	7	3	4	+5	24
4	St Etienne	13	7	2	4	+9	23
5	Reims	14	6	4	4	+6	22
6	Pau FC	13	6	4	3	-1	22
7	Dunkerque	14	5	5	4	+8	20
8	Le Mans	13	5	5	3	+2	20
9	Guingamp	13	5	4	4	-2	19
10	Grenoble	14	4	5	5	-1	17
11	Clermont	14	4	5	5	-4	17
12	Annecy	14	4	4	6	+0	16
13	Rodez	14	4	4	6	-6	16
14	Amiens	14	4	3	7	-4	15
15	Nancy	14	4	3	7	-6	15
16	Laval	13	2	6	5	-5	12
17	Boulogne	14	3	3	8	-9	12
18	Bastia	13	1	4	8	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Montpellier	8	4	2	2	+4	14
3	Le Mans	7	4	1	2	+2	13
4	Pau FC	7	4	1	2	+1	13
5	Dunkerque	8	3	3	2	+6	12
6	Guingamp	7	3	2	2	-1	11
7	St Etienne	6	3	1	2	+9	10
8	Reims	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Grenoble	7	2	4	1	+0	10
10	Red Star	6	3	1	2	-1	10
11	Clermont	7	2	3	2	+0	9
12	Rodez	7	2	3	2	+0	9
13	Annecy	6	1	4	1	+3	7
14	Nancy	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Amiens	7	1	2	4	-3	5
16	Bastia	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Boulogne	7	1	1	5	-9	4
18	Laval	6	0	3	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	7	5	1	1	+7	16
2	St Etienne	7	4	1	2	+0	13
3	Reims	8	3	3	2	+4	12
4	Montpellier	6	3	1	2	+1	10
5	Amiens	7	3	1	3	-1	10
6	Laval	7	2	3	2	+0	9
7	Pau FC	6	2	3	1	-2	9
8	Annecy	8	3	0	5	-3	9
9	Dunkerque	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Boulogne	7	2	2	3	+0	8
11	Guingamp	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Nancy	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Clermont	7	2	2	3	-4	8
14	Le Mans	6	1	4	1	+0	7
15	Troyes	6	1	4	1	+0	7
16	Grenoble	7	2	1	4	-1	7
17	Rodez	7	2	1	4	-6	7
18	Bastia	7	0	2	5	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.