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Ligue 2

Referee: Aurelien Petit

Pau FC

S S U T T

1–1

Full-time

Troyes

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

58%

Both score Ø 46%

42%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,9

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

18 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Pau FC 5. · Troyes 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	12	8	3	1	+13	27
2	Red Star	13	8	2	3	+6	26
3	St Etienne	13	7	2	4	+9	23
4	Montpellier	13	6	3	4	+4	21
5	Pau FC	12	6	3	3	-1	21
6	Le Mans	13	5	5	3	+2	20
7	Dunkerque	13	5	4	4	+8	19
8	Reims	13	5	4	4	+4	19
9	Guingamp	13	5	4	4	-2	19
10	Annecy	13	4	4	5	+1	16
11	Rodez	13	4	4	5	-5	16
12	Amiens	13	4	3	6	-3	15
13	Nancy	13	4	3	6	-4	15
14	Grenoble	13	3	5	5	-2	14
15	Clermont	13	3	5	5	-5	14
16	Boulogne	13	3	2	8	-9	11
17	Laval	12	1	6	5	-7	9
18	Bastia	12	1	4	7	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Le Mans	7	4	1	2	+2	13
3	Pau FC	6	4	0	2	+1	12
4	Dunkerque	7	3	2	2	+6	11
5	Montpellier	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Guingamp	7	3	2	2	-1	11
7	St Etienne	6	3	1	2	+9	10
8	Reims	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Red Star	6	3	1	2	-1	10
10	Rodez	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Annecy	6	1	4	1	+3	7
12	Nancy	6	2	1	3	+0	7
13	Grenoble	6	1	4	1	-1	7
14	Clermont	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Bastia	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Amiens	7	1	2	4	-3	5
17	Boulogne	7	1	1	5	-9	4
18	Laval	6	0	3	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	7	5	1	1	+7	16
2	St Etienne	7	4	1	2	+0	13
3	Montpellier	6	3	1	2	+1	10
4	Amiens	6	3	1	2	+0	10
5	Reims	7	2	3	2	+2	9
6	Pau FC	6	2	3	1	-2	9
7	Annecy	7	3	0	4	-2	9
8	Dunkerque	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Guingamp	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Nancy	7	2	2	3	-4	8
11	Clermont	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Le Mans	6	1	4	1	+0	7
13	Boulogne	6	2	1	3	+0	7
14	Grenoble	7	2	1	4	-1	7
15	Rodez	6	2	1	3	-5	7
16	Troyes	5	1	3	1	+0	6
17	Laval	6	1	3	2	-2	6
18	Bastia	7	0	2	5	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.