Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sabadell
Tenerife
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Espanol
|
39 | 23 | 9 | 7 | +41 | 78 |
| 2 |
Mallorca
|
38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | +22 | 72 |
| 3 |
Almeria
|
39 | 19 | 10 | 10 | +19 | 67 |
| 4 |
Leganes
|
38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | +10 | 63 |
| 5 |
Sp Gijon
|
38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | +11 | 61 |
| 6 |
Girona
|
38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | +8 | 61 |
| 7 |
Vallecano
|
38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | +7 | 58 |
| 8 |
Ponferradina
|
39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | +0 | 56 |
| 9 |
Mirandes
|
39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | -1 | 52 |
| 10 |
Fuenlabrada
|
38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | +0 | 50 |
| 11 |
Las Palmas
|
39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | -8 | 50 |
| 12 |
Malaga
|
38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | -10 | 50 |
| 13 |
Oviedo
|
38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
| 14 |
Tenerife
|
38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | -1 | 47 |
| 15 |
Zaragoza
|
39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | -6 | 45 |
| 16 |
Cartagena
|
39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | -8 | 45 |
| 17 |
Alcorcon
|
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 43 |
| 18 |
Castellon
|
39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Logrones | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -21 | 41 |
| 20 |
Sabadell
|
38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | -8 | 40 |
| 21 |
Lugo
|
39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 |
Albacete
|
39 | 9 | 10 | 20 | -21 | 37 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Oviedo
Sabadell
Sabadell
Vallecano
Sabadell
Mallorca
Fuenlabrada
Sabadell
Sabadell
Cartagena
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.