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Copa del Rey
Referee: Miguel Ortiz
Poblense
1–6
Full-time
Villarreal
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Vic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 UD San Pedro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Astur 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
11 San Tirso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
25 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Poblense Villarreal
10′
⚽ Ramon Terrats 0–1
Yeremy Pino
27′
⚽ Ayoze Pérez 0–2
Ramon Terrats
35′
⚽ Ayoze Pérez 0–3
Yeremy Pino
38′
⚽ Pau Cabanes 0–4
Ayoze Pérez
Juanito 🟨
43′
44′
⚽ Ayoze Pérez 0–5
Ramon Terrats
Half-time 0–5
46′
🔁 J. Valou
↦ Logan Costa
57′
⚽ P. Gueye 0–6
Ayoze Pérez
Dani Rigo 🔁
↦ Juan Cifré
59′
Miki Capellà 🔁
↦ Alberto Fernández
59′
Marco Alarcón 🔁
↦ Dieguito
60′
Miquel Llabrés 🔁
↦ Gori López
60′
63′
🔁 I. Akhomach
↦ Yeremy Pino
63′
🔁 T. Barry
↦ Ayoze Pérez
1–6 Aitor Pons ⚽
Marco Alarcón
67′
70′
🔁 Santi Comesaña
↦ Dani Parejo
70′
🔁 Álex Baena
↦ P. Gueye
A. El Mkadmi 🔁
↦ Suasi
73′
D. Rigo 🟨
80′
87′
🟨 J. Valou
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Poblense

1 Vicenç Sabater
2 Juan Cifré
15 Pep Vidal
20 Suasi
3 Pep Payeras
6 Joan Salvà
18 Gori López
21 Dieguito
8 Miguel Soler
11 Aitor Pons
19 Alberto Fernández
Bench (11)
14 Dani Rigo
10 Miki Capellà
7 Marco Alarcón
9 Miquel Llabrés
27 A. El Mkadmi
23 John Herrera
22 Gerard González
4 Andreu Lladó
13 Felquin Cruz
30 Guiem Masco
5 David Riera

Coach: Óscar Troya

Villarreal

1 Luíz Júnior
12 Juan Bernat
2 Logan Costa
5 W. Kambwala
26 Pau Navarro
10 Dani Parejo
18 P. Gueye
21 Yeremy Pino
20 Ramon Terrats
22 Ayoze Pérez
33 Pau Cabanes
Bench (11)
37 J. Valou
11 I. Akhomach
15 T. Barry
14 Santi Comesaña
16 Álex Baena
13 Diego Conde
23 Sergi Cardona
19 N. Pépé
4 E. Bailly
3 Raúl Albiol
17 Kiko Femenía

Coach: Marcelino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Miguel Ortiz · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.