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KNVB Beker
Referee: A Bos
De Graafschap
T S T T U
4–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap FC OSS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

61% Possession 39%
26 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sparta Nijkerk 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Noordwijk 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Rijnvogels 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Capelle 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Ijsselmeervogels 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Blauw Geel 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Winterswijk 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 ASWH 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 OJC Rosmalen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Quick '20 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Dovo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 SC Genemuiden 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Kolping Boys 2 1 1 0 +1 4
16 FC Lisse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
17 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +3 3
19 AFC Amsterdam 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Gemert 2 1 0 1 +2 3
21 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Juliana '31 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Nijmegen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 ADO '20 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 RKAVV 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Excelsior Maassluis 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 HV & CV Quick 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Poortugaal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Vvsb 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Ajax Amateurs 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Achilles Veen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
34 Hoek 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 TEC 2 1 0 1 -2 3
36 HBC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Smitshoek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Elinkwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 EVV 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Olde Veste '54 2 0 1 1 -1 1
41 Zwaluw VFC 2 0 1 1 -3 1
42 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 SDC Putten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 DEM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Kloetinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 HHC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Meerssen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 URK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 GOES 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 De Bilt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Geldrop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 SVBO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 DAW Schaijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Forum Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 FC 's-Gravenzande 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 ACV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 UNA 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Heerjansdam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 GVVV Veenendaal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
72 Excelsior '31 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 ROHDA Raalte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 Laar 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

De Graafschap FC OSS
1–0 I. El Kadiri
J. van de Haar
17′
21′
A. Stensrud 1–1
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Y. Eduardo
46′
Y. El Jebli 🔁
↦ J. van de Haar
46′
3–1 Y. El Jebli
51′
62′
🔁 T. Wildeboer
↦ A. Stensrud
D. Warmerdam 🔁
↦ P. Brittijn
63′
T. van Gilst 🔁
↦ I. El Kadiri
63′
63′
🔁 J. Van Bost
↦ T. Cox
A. Yadir 🔁
↦ M. Mahi
68′
71′
🔁 M. Remans
↦ M. Hinoke
71′
🔁 S. Zitman
↦ T. van der Werff
T. Grotenhuis 🔁
↦ Y. Eduardo
83′
84′
🔁 T. Niekel
↦ J. Kuijpers
4–1 T. van Gilst
Y. El Jebli
94′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

De Graafschap

4-2-3-1
1 T. Wieggers G
22 Jeffry Fortes D
14 J. Hardeman D
4 M. Willemsen D
21 K. Symons D
6 L. Kaak M
23 P. Brittijn M
9 Y. Eduardo M
10 M. Mahi M
30 I. El Kadiri M
15 J. van de Haar F
Bench (12)
47 Y. El Jebli
8 D. Warmerdam
7 T. van Gilst
34 A. Yadir
29 T. Grotenhuis
12 S. Kremers
27 A. Najah
3 R. Besselink
26 R. Seuntjens
20 R. Hillen
5 L. Schoppema
16 J. Smits

Coach: J. Vreman

FC OSS

4-3-3
1 M. Havekotte G
21 T. Cox D
2 L. Miguel D
4 X. Lambrix D
26 J. Kuijpers D
14 T. van der Werff M
8 M. Esajas M
17 M. Hinoke M
7 K. Loukili F
9 A. Stensrud F
75 J. Zimmerman F
Bench (10)
19 T. Wildeboer
5 J. Van Bost
11 M. Remans
31 S. Zitman
29 T. Niekel
13 M. Spenkelink
16 M. van Herk
6 M. van Rooijen
27 J. Mulder
3 C. Mac-Intosch

Coach: S. Ultee

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bos · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.