Serie B
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Salernitana
Cesena
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sassuolo
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |
Pisa
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |
Spezia
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |
Cremonese
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 |
Palermo
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 |
Juve Stabia
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 15 |
| 7 |
Sampdoria
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |
Cesena
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |
Brescia
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |
Bari
|
10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 11 |
Catanzaro
|
10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 |
Reggiana
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Mantova
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |
Sudtirol
|
10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |
Carrarese
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 |
Cosenza
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 17 |
Salernitana
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 18 |
Modena
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 19 |
Cittadella
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 |
Frosinone
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cremonese
Salernitana
Salernitana
Spezia
Palermo
Salernitana
Salernitana
Catanzaro
Udinese
Salernitana
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.