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Serie B
Referee: G Scatena
Salernitana
T U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Cesena
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Cesena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,5
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
40%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
70%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
70%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
20 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salernitana 17. · Cesena 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 10 6 3 1 +11 21
2 Pisa 10 6 3 1 +6 21
3 Spezia 10 5 5 0 +7 20
4 Cremonese 10 5 2 3 +4 17
5 Palermo 10 4 3 3 +3 15
6 Juve Stabia 10 4 3 3 +0 15
7 Sampdoria 10 4 2 4 +2 14
8 Cesena 10 4 2 4 +1 14
9 Brescia 10 4 1 5 -2 13
10 Bari 10 2 6 2 +2 12
11 Catanzaro 10 2 6 2 +2 12
12 Reggiana 10 3 3 4 -1 12
13 Mantova 10 3 3 4 -3 12
14 Sudtirol 10 4 0 6 -4 12
15 Carrarese 10 3 2 5 -2 11
16 Cosenza 10 2 5 3 -2 11
17 Salernitana 10 3 2 5 -3 11
18 Modena 10 2 4 4 -2 10
19 Cittadella 10 2 3 5 -9 9
20 Frosinone 10 1 4 5 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salernitana Cesena
15′
🟨 Matteo Francesconi
1–0 D. Verde
P. Ghiglione
20′
22′
🟨 Joseph Ceesay
26′
🟨 Simone Bastoni
N. Dalmonte 🔁
↦ F. Tongya
36′
Vincenzo Fiorillo 🟥
42′
Vincenzo Fiorillo ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
42′
F. Corriere 🔁
↦ N. Dalmonte
44′
Half-time 1–0
L. Njoh 🔁
↦ D. Verde
46′
46′
🔁 E. Adamo
↦ M. Francesconi
46′
🔁 M. Antonucci
↦ J. Ceesay
48′
E. Tavşan 1–1
J. Ceesay
Giulio Maggiore 🟨
52′
53′
🔁 C. Shpendi
↦ S. van Hooijdonk
60′
🔁 S. Hraiech
↦ S. Bastoni
S. Nwankwo 🔁
↦ E. Torregrossa
73′
A. Tello 🔁
↦ G. Maggiore
73′
74′
🔁 T. Berti
↦ E. Tavşan
Andrés Tello 🟨
90′
Gian Marco Ferrari 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U ✓
3,13
B
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,00
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.