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Bundesliga
Referee: F Zwayer
FC Koln
S S T U S
0–1
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 20
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 34 24 6 4 +55 78
2 RB Leipzig 34 19 8 7 +28 65
3 Dortmund 34 20 4 10 +29 64
4 Wolfsburg 34 17 10 7 +24 61
5 Ein Frankfurt 34 16 12 6 +16 60
6 Leverkusen 34 14 10 10 +14 52
7 Union Berlin 34 12 14 8 +7 50
8 M'gladbach 34 13 10 11 +8 49
9 Stuttgart 34 12 9 13 +1 45
10 Freiburg 34 12 9 13 +0 45
11 Hoffenheim 34 11 10 13 -2 43
12 Mainz 34 10 9 15 -17 39
13 Augsburg 34 10 6 18 -18 36
14 Hertha 34 8 11 15 -11 35
15 Bielefeld 34 9 8 17 -26 35
16 FC Koln 34 8 9 17 -26 33
17 Werder Bremen 34 7 10 17 -21 31
18 Schalke 04 34 3 7 24 -61 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Holstein Kiel
N. Katterbach 🟨
14′
41′
🟨 F. Bartels
45′
🟨 A. Ignjovski
Half-time 0–0
D. Drexler 🔁
46′
46′
🟨 J. van den Bergh
E. Skhiri 🟨
51′
M. Wolf 🟨
53′
59′
🔁 A. Ignjovski
↦ S. Lorenz
59′
S. Lorenz 0–1
Lee Jae-Sung
S. Ozcan 🔁
↦ S. Andersson
66′
M. Wolf 🔁
↦ J. Thielmann
66′
67′
🔁 F. Porath
↦ F. Reese
78′
🔁 J. Serra
↦ B. Girth
78′
🔁 F. Bartels
↦ J. Mees
R. Czichos 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
1 Timo Horn G
2 Benno Schmitz D
33 Sebastiaan Bornauw D
5 Rafael Czichos D
3 Noah Katterbach D
21 Salih Özcan M
28 Ellyes Skhiri M
31 Marius Wolf M
18 Ondrej Duda M
8 Ismail Jakobs M
14 Jonas Hector F
Bench (9)
16 Ron-Robert Zieler
19 Kingsley Ehizibue
22 Jorge Mere
24 Dominick Drexler
6 Marco Höger
13 Max Meyer
29 Jan Thielmann
11 Florian Kainz
9 Sebastian Andersson

Holstein Kiel

4-1-4-1
1 Ioannis Gelios G
25 Phil Neumann D
24 Hauke Wahl D
3 Marco Komenda D
15 Johannes van den Bergh D
22 Aleksandar Ignjovski M
31 Fin Bartels M
7 Jae-Sung Lee M
36 Niklas Hauptmann M
27 Finn Dominik Porath M
23 Janni Serra F
Bench (9)
21 Thomas Dähne
2 Mikkel Kirkeskov
19 Simon Lorenz
20 Jannik Dehm
29 Joshua Mees
32 Jonas Sterner
11 Fabian Reese
28 Noah Awuku
33 Benjamin Girth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.