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Copa del Rey
Referee: Rubén Ruipérez
Guijuelo
S T T
1–2
Full-time
Ourense CF
U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guijuelo Ourense CF
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Vic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 UD San Pedro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Astur 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
10 San Tirso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
23 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guijuelo Ourense CF
F. Lopez 🟨
14′
26′
🟨 A. Zalaya
J. Hernandez 🟨
32′
M. Robles 🟨
35′
42′
🟨 A. Fidalgo
Half-time 0–1
47′
⚽ G. Di Renzo 0–1
Pana 🔁
↦ Izan Gutiérrez
58′
Imanol Ezkurdia 🔁
↦ Javi Hernández
58′
Cristóbal Gil 🔁
↦ Mario Robles
58′
61′
🔁 Jerin Ramos
↦ Xesc Fullana
61′
🔁 Alberto Gil
↦ Ángel Sánchez
68′
⚽ Jairo Noriega 0–2
Álex Gil
Pepe Carmona 🔁
↦ Jesús Sillero
70′
1–2 Fran López ⚽
70′
72′
🔁 Iván del Olmo
↦ Jairo Noriega
Kike López 🔁
↦ Ale Morales
81′
G. Cristobal 🟨
83′
85′
🟨 F. Carmona
87′
🔁 Javier Carbonell
↦ Álex Gil
87′
🔁 Miguel Prado
↦ Fernando Andrada
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Guijuelo

13 Hodei Oleaga
5 Mario Robles
4 Gonzalo Expósito
2 Sergio Montes
15 Javi Hernández
8 Jesús Boigues
16 Fran López
19 Izan Gutiérrez
14 Garban
7 Jesús Sillero
6 Ale Morales
Bench (9)
9 Pana
3 Imanol Ezkurdia
10 Cristóbal Gil
11 Pepe Carmona
21 Kike López
22 Álvaro Coque
20 Alonso García
1 J. Guzmán
18 Álex Hernández

Coach: Mario Sánchez

Ourense CF

13 P. Guillén
2 Fernando Andrada
15 Álex Zalaya
4 Fran Carmona
3 Hugo Sanz
23 Xesc Fullana
6 Alejandro Fidalgo
22 Jairo Noriega
9 G. Di Renzo
11 Álex Gil
20 Ángel Sánchez
Bench (8)
8 Jerin Ramos
10 Alberto Gil
14 Iván del Olmo
7 Javier Carbonell
5 Miguel Prado
1 Raúl Marqueta
17 Raúl Prada
21 Josema Raigal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.