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KNVB Beker
Referee: T Hardeman
5–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Nijkerk Capelle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,7
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+2,5
This season — KNVB Beker · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
6,0
3,5
Scored
5,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+4,0
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sparta Nijkerk 1. · Capelle 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sparta Nijkerk 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Noordwijk 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Rijnvogels 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Capelle 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Ijsselmeervogels 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Blauw Geel 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Winterswijk 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 ASWH 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 OJC Rosmalen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Quick '20 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Dovo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 SC Genemuiden 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Kolping Boys 2 1 1 0 +1 4
16 FC Lisse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
17 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +3 3
19 AFC Amsterdam 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Gemert 2 1 0 1 +2 3
21 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Juliana '31 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Nijmegen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 ADO '20 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 RKAVV 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Excelsior Maassluis 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 HV & CV Quick 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Poortugaal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Vvsb 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Ajax Amateurs 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Achilles Veen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
34 Hoek 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 TEC 2 1 0 1 -2 3
36 HBC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Smitshoek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Elinkwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 EVV 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Olde Veste '54 2 0 1 1 -1 1
41 Zwaluw VFC 2 0 1 1 -3 1
42 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 SDC Putten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 DEM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Kloetinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 HHC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Meerssen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 URK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 GOES 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 De Bilt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Geldrop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 SVBO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 DAW Schaijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Forum Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 FC 's-Gravenzande 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 ACV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 UNA 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Heerjansdam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 GVVV Veenendaal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
72 Excelsior '31 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 ROHDA Raalte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 Laar 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.