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Copa del Rey
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
3–4
Full-time
Santander
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Vic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 UD San Pedro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Astur 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
11 San Tirso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
25 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lanzarote Santander
M. Sosa 🟨
29′
32′
Jon Karrikaburu 0–1
39′
Ekain Zenitagoia 0–2
Jon Karrikaburu
1–2 Ale Fuentes
Álex Cruz
42′
Half-time 1–2
46′
🟨 M. Gueye
Josimar 🔁
↦ M. Sosa
46′
Álvaro Iglesias 🔁
↦ Adrián Machín
46′
Ruymán Fernández 🔁
↦ Ale Martín
46′
Javi Mayor 🔁
↦ Raúl
46′
61′
🔁 Aitor Crespo
↦ Marco Carrascal
67′
🔁 Marco Sangalli
↦ Jon Karrikaburu
Oli 🔁
↦ D. Febles
68′
74′
Jeremy Arévalo 1–3
Marco Sangalli
76′
S. Camara 1–4
Jeremy Arévalo
2–4 Ale Fuentes
Josimar
78′
79′
🔁 Pablo Rodríguez
↦ S. Camara
80′
🔁 Dani González
↦ Jeremy Arévalo
3–4 Ale Fuentes
Álvaro Iglesias
81′
A. Rodriguez 🟨
95′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Lanzarote

1 Ale Martín
20 D. Febles
15 Raúl
2 Álex Cruz
4 Agoney Rodríguez
21 Ayoze
8 Dani González
16 M. Sosa
6 Javi Martín
10 Ale Fuentes
11 Adrián Machín
Bench (7)
28 Josimar
9 Álvaro Iglesias
13 Ruymán Fernández
5 Javi Mayor
3 Oli
26 Adrián Dorta
17 Nadjib Montes

Coach: J. Socorro

Santander

1 Miquel Parera
3 Saúl García
18 Manu Hernando
39 Iñigo Gomeza
28 Marco Carrascal
7 L. Junior
12 M. Gueye
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
19 Jon Karrikaburu
20 S. Camara
29 Jeremy Arévalo
Bench (7)
37 Aitor Crespo
15 Marco Sangalli
22 Pablo Rodríguez
30 Dani González
13 Jokin Ezkieta
8 Aritz Aldasoro
9 Juan Carlos Arana

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.