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KNVB Beker
Referee: I Oostrom
Excelsior
T S S T S
2–1
Full-time
VVV Venlo
S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
5,3
4,0
Scored
3,2
1,7
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%
21 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
5 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sparta Nijkerk 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Noordwijk 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Rijnvogels 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Capelle 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Ijsselmeervogels 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Blauw Geel 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Winterswijk 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 ASWH 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 OJC Rosmalen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Quick '20 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Dovo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 SC Genemuiden 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Kolping Boys 2 1 1 0 +1 4
16 FC Lisse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
17 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +3 3
19 AFC Amsterdam 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Gemert 2 1 0 1 +2 3
21 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Juliana '31 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Nijmegen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 ADO '20 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 RKAVV 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Excelsior Maassluis 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 HV & CV Quick 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Poortugaal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Vvsb 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Ajax Amateurs 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Achilles Veen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
34 Hoek 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 TEC 2 1 0 1 -2 3
36 HBC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Smitshoek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Elinkwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 EVV 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Olde Veste '54 2 0 1 1 -1 1
41 Zwaluw VFC 2 0 1 1 -3 1
42 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 SDC Putten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 DEM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Kloetinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 HHC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Meerssen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 URK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 GOES 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 De Bilt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Geldrop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 SVBO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 DAW Schaijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Forum Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 FC 's-Gravenzande 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 ACV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 UNA 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Heerjansdam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 GVVV Veenendaal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
72 Excelsior '31 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 ROHDA Raalte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 Laar 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Excelsior VVV Venlo
1–0 J. Bergraaf
V. Zandbergen
3′
18′
M. Berden 1–1
2–1 N. Naujoks
32′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 T. Verheijen
↦ D. van Zutphen
46′
🔁 M. Odriss
↦ M. de Waal
46′
🔁 Y. El Anbri
↦ T. Joosten
L. Hartjes 🔁
↦ N. Naujoks
65′
S. Fini 🔁
↦ D. Sanches Fernandes
65′
65′
🔁 K. Doumtsios
↦ P. Doesburg
R. Omorowa 🔁
↦ J. Bergraaf
72′
S. Middendorp 🔁
↦ M. van Duinen
83′
D. Warmerdam 🔁
↦ V. Zandbergen
83′
85′
🔁 N. Matoug
↦ P. Pöpperl
I. Bronkhorst 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Excelsior

4-4-2
38 P. Kuiper G
2 I. Bronkhorst D
18 S. Loeffen D
34 S. Seymor D
32 S. de Moes D
30 D. Sanches Fernandes M
15 N. Naujoks M
24 J. Eijgenraam M
26 V. Zandbergen M
33 J. Bergraaf F
29 M. van Duinen F
Bench (7)
20 L. Hartjes
7 S. Fini
9 R. Omorowa
28 S. Middendorp
4 D. Warmerdam
22 J. de Almeida Reis
1 C. Raatsie

Coach: R. den Uil

VVV Venlo

4-4-2
23 D. van Crooij G
37 D. van Zutphen D
33 G. Blancquart D
27 T. Joosten D
5 S. Janssen D
17 M. Berden M
10 P. Pöpperl M
8 E. Sierra M
19 E. Gyamfi M
18 P. Doesburg F
21 M. de Waal F
Bench (12)
11 T. Verheijen
24 M. Odriss
35 Y. El Anbri
9 K. Doumtsios
26 N. Matoug
30 J. Jenniskens
14 Y. Roemer
36 D. Lemmert
1 J. de Boer
25 Z. Taylan
29 T. Braem
7 L. Wehmeyer

Coach: J. Lammers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Oostrom · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.