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DFB-Pokal

Referee: R Schröder

Darmstadt

U S S S S

2–1

Full-time

M'gladbach

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

10,0

Scored

3,0

9,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+8,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Darmstadt 17. · M'gladbach 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	+12	6
2	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Nurnberg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+10	3
6	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+8	3
7	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+6	3
9	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Sandhausen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Stuttgarter Kickers	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
29	VfB Lubeck	2	1	0	1	-2	3
30	Braunschweig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Waldhof Mannheim	2	0	1	1	-1	1
36	Straelen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Chemnitzer FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Bayreuth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Kaan-Marienborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	SV Rodinghausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Kickers Offenbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
59	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	0	1	-5	0
60	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-6	0
61	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-8	0
62	Neustrelitz	1	0	0	1	-8	0
63	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
64	Einheit Wernigerode	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Stuttgarter Kickers	2	1	0	1	+0	3
4	VfB Lubeck	2	1	0	1	-2	3
5	Braunschweig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Waldhof Mannheim	2	0	1	1	-1	1
8	Straelen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Chemnitzer FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Bayreuth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Kaan-Marienborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	SV Rodinghausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Kickers Offenbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
21	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-4	0
26	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
27	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
28	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	0	1	-5	0
29	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-6	0
30	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-8	0
31	Neustrelitz	1	0	0	1	-8	0
32	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
33	Einheit Wernigerode	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Nurnberg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+10	3
5	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+8	3
6	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+8	3
7	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+6	3
9	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Sandhausen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
27	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.