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La Liga

Referee: Javier Iglesias

Ath Madrid

S T S U S

1–1

Full-time

Vallecano

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

1,7

1,1

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 3. · Vallecano 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	8	1	0	+14	25
2	Barcelona	9	7	1	1	+17	22
3	Ath Madrid	9	6	1	2	+8	19
4	Betis	9	6	1	2	+7	19
5	Sociedad	9	6	1	2	+3	19
6	Ath Bilbao	10	5	3	2	+11	18
7	Villarreal	9	4	3	2	+9	15
8	Valencia	10	4	3	3	+6	15
9	Osasuna	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Vallecano	9	3	2	4	-2	11
11	Sevilla	10	2	4	4	-5	10
12	Celta	9	3	1	5	-6	10
13	Mallorca	9	2	3	4	-3	9
14	Espanol	9	2	3	4	-4	9
15	Getafe	10	2	3	5	-8	9
16	Girona	9	2	2	5	-3	8
17	Valladolid	9	2	2	5	-8	8
18	Almeria	9	2	1	6	-7	7
19	Cadiz	9	1	3	5	-13	6
20	Elche	9	0	3	6	-15	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Valencia	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Osasuna	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+6	7
8	Girona	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Celta	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Vallecano	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	-1	7
12	Ath Madrid	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Almeria	4	2	0	2	+1	6
14	Getafe	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Mallorca	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	Espanol	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Sevilla	5	0	3	2	-5	3
19	Elche	4	0	2	2	-4	2
20	Cadiz	5	0	2	3	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Barcelona	5	4	0	1	+9	12
4	Sociedad	5	4	0	1	+4	12
5	Ath Bilbao	4	2	2	0	+7	8
6	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	+3	8
7	Sevilla	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Espanol	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Valencia	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Betis	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Osasuna	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Cadiz	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Celta	4	1	0	3	-6	3
18	Girona	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	Almeria	5	0	1	4	-8	1
20	Elche	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.