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Pro League
Referee: A Denil
Genk
U S S S S
6–1
Full-time
Westerlo
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 66%
91%
40%
Points per game
2,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
73%
60%
Both score Ø 53%
55%
50%
Average goals
3,1
3,5
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
0,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 5–1

64% Possession 36%
23 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Genk 1. · Westerlo 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 11 10 1 0 +20 31
2 Antwerp 12 10 0 2 +12 30
3 Club Brugge 12 8 1 3 +12 25
4 St. Gilloise 10 8 1 1 +12 25
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13 6 2 5 +0 20
6 Anderlecht 13 6 1 6 +8 19
7 Charleroi 14 6 1 7 -1 19
8 Standard 10 6 0 4 +2 18
9 Gent 9 5 1 3 +9 16
10 St Truiden 12 4 4 4 +0 16
11 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 -1 14
12 Kortrijk 14 4 2 8 -10 14
13 Cercle Brugge 10 3 3 4 -2 12
14 Oostende 13 3 3 7 -9 12
15 Eupen 14 4 0 10 -15 12
16 Mechelen 13 3 2 8 -8 11
17 Seraing United 12 3 2 7 -8 11
18 Seraing 13 3 2 8 -9 11
19 Waregem 13 3 2 8 -12 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Westerlo
1–0 J. Paintsil
B. Heynen
7′
2–0 D. Muñoz
15′
21′
T. Dierckx 2–1
3–1 P. Onuachu
J. Paintsil
32′
4–1 P. Onuachu
40′
Half-time 5–1
5–1 D. Muñoz
J. Paintsil
49′
58′
🟥 Nene Dorgeles
63′
🔁 Igor Vetokele
↦ N. Chadli
63′
🔁 K. Vaesen
↦ L. Foster
63′
🔁 H. Akbunar
↦ T. Dierckx
64′
🔁 Lucas Mineiro
↦ N. Madsen
R. Carstensen 🔁
↦ D. Muñoz
66′
N. Castro 🔁
↦ B. El Khannouss
66′
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ P. Onuachu
66′
Carlos Cuesta 🟨
73′
6–1 P. Hrošovský
M. Trésor
79′
A. Németh 🔁
↦ J. Paintsil
80′
M. Galarza 🔁
↦ B. Heynen
80′
80′
🔁 E. Jordanov
↦ M. De Cuyper
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
77 A. Preciado D
8 B. Heynen M
17 P. Hrošovský M
28 J. Paintsil M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
18 P. Onuachu F
Bench (7)
22 R. Carstensen
10 N. Castro
7 M. Samatta
35 A. Németh
25 M. Galarza
40 T. Leysen
4 A. Ouattara

Coach: W. Vrancken

Westerlo

4-4-2
1 S. Bolat G
22 B. Reynolds D
23 R. Seigers D
24 R. Tagir D
11 M. De Cuyper D
55 T. Dierckx M
4 M. Fixelles M
8 N. Madsen M
5 N. Chadli M
9 L. Foster F
45 N. Dorgeles F
Bench (7)
25 Igor Vetokele
14 K. Vaesen
35 H. Akbunar
6 Lucas Mineiro
32 E. Jordanov
33 R. Neustädter
20 N. Gillekens

Coach: J. De Roeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,59
U
4,32
B
5,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,42
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Denil · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.