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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Getafe
S S T T U
2–2
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
22%
56%
Points per game
0,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 39%
44%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,9
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 11
7 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 16. · Ath Bilbao 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 9 8 1 0 +14 25
2 Barcelona 9 7 1 1 +17 22
3 Ath Madrid 9 6 1 2 +8 19
4 Betis 9 6 1 2 +7 19
5 Sociedad 9 6 1 2 +3 19
6 Ath Bilbao 9 5 2 2 +11 17
7 Villarreal 9 4 3 2 +9 15
8 Valencia 10 4 3 3 +6 15
9 Osasuna 9 4 1 4 -1 13
10 Vallecano 9 3 2 4 -2 11
11 Sevilla 10 2 4 4 -5 10
12 Celta 9 3 1 5 -6 10
13 Mallorca 9 2 3 4 -3 9
14 Espanol 9 2 3 4 -4 9
15 Girona 9 2 2 5 -3 8
16 Getafe 9 2 2 5 -8 8
17 Valladolid 9 2 2 5 -8 8
18 Almeria 9 2 1 6 -7 7
19 Cadiz 9 1 3 5 -13 6
20 Elche 9 0 3 6 -15 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Ath Bilbao
Jaime Mata 🟨
-5′
2′
Iñaki Williams 0–1
Ander Herrera
Juan Iglesias 🟨
14′
18′
🟨 Oihan Sancet
Damián Suárez 🟨
19′
Domingos Duarte 🟨
25′
1–1 Carles Aleñá
E. Ünal
27′
Carles Aleñá 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–1
55′
🔁 Álex Berenguer
↦ Muniain
55′
🔁 Yuri
↦ De Marcos
56′
🔁 Raúl García
↦ Oihan Sancet
62′
Raúl García 1–2
Nico Williams
64′
🟨 Ander Herrera
F. Angileri 🔁
↦ Juan Iglesias
72′
M. El Haddadi 🔁
↦ N. Maksimović
73′
74′
🔁 Oier Zarraga
↦ Nico Williams
74′
🔁 Dani García
↦ Ander Herrera
2–2 M. El Haddadi
Carles Aleñá
76′
80′
🟨 Oier Zarraga
Portu 🔁
↦ Borja Mayoral
85′
Ángel Algobia 🔁
↦ Carles Aleñá
85′
Ángel Algobia 🟨
91′
92′
🟨 Iñigo Martínez
Latasa 🔁
↦ E. Ünal
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Getafe

5-3-2
13 David Soria G
22 D. Suárez D
2 D. Dakonam D
23 S. Mitrović D
6 Domingos Duarte D
21 Juan Iglesias D
20 N. Maksimović M
5 Luis Milla M
11 Carles Aleñá M
19 Borja Mayoral F
10 E. Ünal F
Bench (12)
3 F. Angileri
17 M. El Haddadi
9 Portu
16 Ángel Algobia
14 Latasa
4 G. Álvarez
15 O. Alderete
12 J. Amavi
27 Diego Conde
8 Jaime Seoane
7 Mata
1 Kiko Casilla

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón G
18 De Marcos D
3 Dani Vivian D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
15 Lekue D
23 Ander Herrera M
6 Mikel Vesga M
11 Nico Williams M
8 Oihan Sancet M
10 Muniain M
9 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (12)
7 Álex Berenguer
17 Yuri
22 Raúl García
19 Oier Zarraga
14 Dani García
16 Unai Vencedor
5 Yeray
20 Asier Villalibre
13 Julen Agirrezabala
24 Balenziaga
31 Aitor Paredes
12 Gorka Guruzeta

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,52
U ✓
3,38
B
1,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,34
U2,5
1,61
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.