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Championship

Referee: G Ward

Stoke

U T U S S

0–1

Full-time

Rotherham

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Rotherham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — Championship · 14/13 matches

Win Ø 34%

36%

31%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

43%

38%

Both score Ø 41%

43%

38%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%

29 Shots 4

12 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 11

8 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stoke 14. · Rotherham 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	14	6	7	1	+12	25
2	Sheffield United	14	7	4	3	+11	25
3	Luton	15	6	6	3	+6	24
4	Norwich	15	7	3	5	+5	24
5	QPR	14	7	3	4	+4	24
6	Blackburn	15	8	0	7	+1	24
7	Swansea	15	7	3	5	-2	24
8	Preston	16	5	7	4	-1	22
9	Reading	15	7	1	7	-6	22
10	Sunderland	14	5	5	4	+5	20
11	Watford	14	5	5	4	+2	20
12	Millwall	14	6	2	6	-1	20
13	Birmingham	14	5	4	5	+2	19
14	Stoke	14	5	4	5	+0	19
15	Wigan	14	5	4	5	-3	19
16	Rotherham	13	4	6	3	+2	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-1	18
18	Cardiff	14	5	3	6	-2	18
19	Blackpool	14	4	4	6	-4	16
20	West Brom	14	2	8	4	+1	14
21	Hull	14	4	2	8	-15	14
22	Middlesbrough	13	3	4	6	-4	13
23	Huddersfield	14	3	2	9	-6	11
24	Coventry	10	1	4	5	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	8	5	1	2	+3	16
2	Rotherham	8	4	3	1	+8	15
3	Blackburn	7	5	0	2	+6	15
4	Millwall	7	5	0	2	+5	15
5	Sheffield United	7	4	2	1	+9	14
6	Norwich	8	4	2	2	+5	14
7	Burnley	7	3	4	0	+7	13
8	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	+4	13
9	Watford	7	4	1	2	+2	13
10	Swansea	8	4	1	3	+0	13
11	Middlesbrough	8	3	3	2	+1	12
12	Hull	8	4	0	4	-5	12
13	QPR	6	3	2	1	+3	11
14	Cardiff	7	3	2	2	+1	11
15	Sunderland	7	2	4	1	+3	10
16	Luton	8	2	4	2	+2	10
17	Huddersfield	8	3	1	4	+1	10
18	Birmingham	6	2	2	2	+2	8
19	Stoke	6	2	2	2	-1	8
20	West Brom	7	1	4	2	+1	7
21	Blackpool	6	2	1	3	+0	7
22	Preston	8	1	4	3	-4	7
23	Wigan	7	1	3	3	-6	6
24	Coventry	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	8	4	3	1	+3	15
2	Luton	7	4	2	1	+4	14
3	Wigan	7	4	1	2	+3	13
4	QPR	8	4	1	3	+1	13
5	Burnley	7	3	3	1	+5	12
6	Sheffield United	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Stoke	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Birmingham	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Swansea	7	3	2	2	-2	11
10	Sunderland	7	3	1	3	+2	10
11	Norwich	7	3	1	3	+0	10
12	Blackpool	8	2	3	3	-4	9
13	Blackburn	8	3	0	5	-5	9
14	West Brom	7	1	4	2	+0	7
15	Watford	7	1	4	2	+0	7
16	Cardiff	7	2	1	4	-3	7
17	Coventry	8	1	4	3	-4	7
18	Reading	7	2	0	5	-9	6
19	Bristol City	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Millwall	7	1	2	4	-6	5
21	Rotherham	5	0	3	2	-6	3
22	Hull	6	0	2	4	-10	2
23	Middlesbrough	5	0	1	4	-5	1
24	Huddersfield	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.