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Bundesliga
Referee: Benjamin Brand
M'gladbach
U S U S T
3–2
Full-time
Darmstadt
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
81%
44%
Both score Ø 54%
63%
44%
Average goals
3,7
2,4
Scored
1,9
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 7. · Darmstadt 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 17 15 1 1 +38 46
2 Dortmund 17 12 2 3 +24 38
3 Hertha 17 10 2 5 +8 32
4 Leverkusen 17 8 3 6 +5 27
5 Schalke 04 17 8 3 6 +0 27
6 Wolfsburg 17 7 5 5 +5 26
7 M'gladbach 16 8 2 6 +3 26
8 Mainz 17 7 3 7 +0 24
9 FC Koln 17 6 6 5 -3 24
10 Hamburg 17 6 4 7 -4 22
11 FC Ingolstadt 04 17 5 5 7 -7 20
12 Augsburg 17 5 4 8 -5 19
13 Darmstadt 16 4 6 6 -8 18
14 Ein Frankfurt 17 4 5 8 -7 17
15 Stuttgart 17 4 3 10 -15 15
16 Werder Bremen 17 4 3 10 -15 15
17 Hannover 17 4 2 11 -11 14
18 Hoffenheim 17 2 7 8 -8 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Darmstadt
28′
M. Heller 0–1
S. Wagner
Granit Xhaka 🟥
38′
38′
🟨 Peter Niemeyer
1–1 L. Stindl
44′
Lars Stindl 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Luca Caldirola
Half-time 2–1
2–1 H. Nordtveit
51′
55′
🔁 M. Vrančić
↦ P. Niemeyer
60′
🟨 Fabian Holland
65′
🟨 Marcel Heller
67′
S. Wagner 2–2
M. Heller
R. Brouwers 🔁
↦ T. Hazard
73′
77′
🔁 K. Rausch
↦ T. Kempe
3–2 O. Wendt
L. Stindl
86′
87′
🔁 D. Stroh-Engel
↦ J. Rosenthal
M. Dahoud 🔁
↦ L. Stindl
88′
J. Drmic 🔁
↦ Raffael
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

M'gladbach

1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt D
3 A. Christensen D
30 N. Elvedi D
6 H. Nordtveit D
19 F. Johnson M
13 L. Stindl F
34 G. Xhaka M
27 J. Korb M
10 T. Hazard M
11 Raffael F
Bench (7)
4 R. Brouwers
8 M. Dahoud
9 J. Drmic
18 M. Schulz
21 T. Sippel
31 B. Hrgota
36 M. Ritter

Darmstadt

31 C. Mathenia G
13 G. Garics
32 F. Holland D
4 A. Sulu D
33 L. Caldirola D
10 J. Rosenthal M
18 P. Niemeyer D
20 M. Heller M
11 T. Kempe M
8 J. Gondorf M
14 S. Wagner F
Bench (7)
6 M. Vrančić
34 K. Rausch
9 D. Stroh-Engel
1 P. Platins
7 M. Sailer
23 F. Jungwirth
35 S. Rajković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Benjamin Brand · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.