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DBU Pokalen

Referee: J Bæk

Næsby

1–2

Full-time

Nykobing FC

S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Næsby Nykobing FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,0

1,5

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,0

1,5

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Næsby 35. · Nykobing FC 23. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middelfart	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+11	6
3	Aarhus	2	2	0	0	+11	6
4	Hørsholm-Usserød	2	2	0	0	+9	6
5	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Vejle	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+7	6
9	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Naestved	3	2	0	1	+5	6
12	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+5	6
14	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
16	FC Helsingor	2	2	0	0	+4	6
17	Fremad Amager	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Jammerbugt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	BSF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
20	AB Copenhagen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
21	HB Koge	2	1	1	0	+4	4
22	Brabrand	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Nykobing FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Kerteminde	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Ringkøbing	2	1	0	1	+7	3
26	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
27	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
28	Tårnby FF	2	1	0	1	+3	3
29	Silkeborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Brønshøj	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Skive	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Frem	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Karlslunde	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Næsby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	FC Nakskov	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Kastrup	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Allerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Culpa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Frederikshavn	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	SfB-Oure	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	Marienlyst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	Tuse	2	1	0	1	-4	3
48	Viby	2	1	0	1	-5	3
49	Vatanspor	2	1	0	1	-6	3
50	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
55	SGI	3	0	1	2	-7	1
56	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
92	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
93	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
94	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
95	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
96	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
97	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Næsby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Tuse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Allerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Culpa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Frederikshavn	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	BSF	2	1	0	1	-4	3
14	Vatanspor	2	1	0	1	-6	3
15	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Kerteminde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Nykobing FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	SGI	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Silkeborg KFUM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Frem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	AB Copenhagen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Brønshøj	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
58	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
59	Viby	1	0	0	1	-7	0
60	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
61	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
62	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
63	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middelfart	2	2	0	0	+13	6
2	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+11	6
3	Aarhus	2	2	0	0	+11	6
4	Naestved	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Vejle	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+7	6
9	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+5	6
14	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	AB Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Jammerbugt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	HB Koge	2	1	1	0	+4	4
18	Brabrand	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+8	3
20	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
21	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
22	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
23	BSF	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Tårnby FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Silkeborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Skive	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Frem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Viby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Karlslunde	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Kastrup	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Marienlyst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Kerteminde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Tuse	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Næsby Nykobing FC

42′

⚽ L. Pleidrup 0–1

Half-time 0–1

46′

🔁 O. Jakobsen

↦ M. Schwensen

46′

🔁 V. Christiansson

↦ N. Bonde

1–1 A. Hother ⚽

51′

R. Espersen 🔁

↦ J. Skytte

55′

K. Petersen 🔁

↦ M. Stangerup

55′

60′

🔁 E. Simonsen

↦ E. Nnamani

60′

🔁 K. Jensen

↦ O. Fuglsang

62′

🟨 K. Jensen

K. Dreyer 🟨

65′

P. Stoustrup 🔁

↦ A. Hother

67′

M. Lund 🔁

↦ L. Skøtt

67′

70′

🟨 M. Backmann

J. Harboe 🔁

↦ S. Skøtt

77′

84′

⚽ E. Simonsen 1–2

J. Harboe 🟨

88′

🟨 L. Kjerrumgaard

89′

🔁 Y. Toutouh

↦ A. Hassan

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Næsby

21 P. Gejl

12 K. Dreyer

16 J. Skytte

13 N. Venzel

3 L. Skøtt

5 A. Kjerstad

6 M. Stangerup

20 S. Skøtt

18 A. Hother

19 K. Nyegaard

14 E. Lamnaouar

Bench (9)

15 R. Espersen

8 K. Petersen

11 P. Stoustrup

7 M. Lund

17 J. Harboe

1 M. Würtz

4 V. Ibsen

10 J. Runge

9 T. Hansen

Coach: K. Johannsen

Nykobing FC

26 M. Bank

13 L. Pleidrup

6 M. Backmann

22 O. Fuglsang

2 E. Gärtig

8 M. Carlson

15 N. Bonde

9 A. Hassan

E. Nnamani

L. Kjerrumgaard

30 M. Schwensen

Bench (9)

24 O. Jakobsen

7 V. Christiansson

11 E. Simonsen

3 K. Jensen

18 Y. Toutouh

10 M. Gehrt

14 J. Blach

1 J. Storch

27 J. El-Sayed

Coach: C. Jensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

31. Aug POK 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Næsby

Nykobing FC

Odds comparison

Recent matches