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Championship
Referee: C Pawson
Blackburn
S T S T S
2–0
Full-time
Sunderland
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Championship · 15/14 matches
Win Ø 45%
53%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
53%
57%
Both score Ø 39%
27%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 6. · Sunderland 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 14 6 7 1 +12 25
2 Sheffield United 14 7 4 3 +11 25
3 Luton 15 6 6 3 +6 24
4 Norwich 15 7 3 5 +5 24
5 QPR 14 7 3 4 +4 24
6 Blackburn 15 8 0 7 +1 24
7 Swansea 15 7 3 5 -2 24
8 Preston 16 5 7 4 -1 22
9 Reading 15 7 1 7 -6 22
10 Sunderland 14 5 5 4 +5 20
11 Watford 14 5 5 4 +2 20
12 Millwall 14 6 2 6 -1 20
13 Birmingham 14 5 4 5 +2 19
14 Stoke 14 5 4 5 +0 19
15 Wigan 14 5 4 5 -3 19
16 Rotherham 13 4 6 3 +2 18
17 Bristol City 15 5 3 7 -1 18
18 Cardiff 14 5 3 6 -2 18
19 Blackpool 14 4 4 6 -4 16
20 West Brom 14 2 8 4 +1 14
21 Hull 14 4 2 8 -15 14
22 Middlesbrough 13 3 4 6 -4 13
23 Huddersfield 14 3 2 9 -6 11
24 Coventry 10 1 4 5 -6 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Sunderland
30′
🟨 Alex Pritchard
1–0 B. Brereton
32′
Tyler Morton 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Dennis Cirkin
2–0 S. Wharton
R. Hedges
49′
64′
🔁 A. Diallo
↦ D. Neil
64′
🔁 A. Ba
↦ E. Embleton
64′
🔁 J. Bennette
↦ A. Pritchard
Sammie Szmodics 🟨
65′
66′
🟨 Jewison Bennette
73′
🔁 T. Hume
↦ A. Alese
Hayden Carter 🟨
74′
T. Dolan 🔁
↦ S. Szmodics
77′
J. Vale 🔁
↦ S. Gallagher
78′
81′
🔁 É. Michut
↦ C. Evans
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Blackburn

3-4-1-2
1 T. Kaminski G
17 H. Carter D
5 D. Hyam D
16 S. Wharton D
19 R. Hedges M
30 J. Garrett M
6 T. Morton M
2 C. Brittain M
8 S. Szmodics F
9 S. Gallagher F
22 B. Brereton F
Bench (7)
10 T. Dolan
29 J. Vale
13 A. Pears
33 A. Phillips
15 C. Mola
36 A. Wharton
21 J. Buckley

Coach: J. Tomasson

Sunderland

3-4-3
1 A. Patterson G
13 L. O'Nien D
6 D. Batth D
42 A. Alese D
24 D. Neil M
8 E. Embleton M
4 C. Evans M
3 D. Cirkin M
10 P. Roberts F
20 J. Clarke F
21 A. Pritchard F
Bench (7)
16 A. Diallo
17 A. Ba
19 J. Bennette
32 T. Hume
25 É. Michut
26 B. Wright
12 A. Bass

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,27
U
3,22
B
3,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.