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KNVB Beker
Referee: I Oostrom

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 ADO '20 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Sportlust '46 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Staphorst 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Hoek 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 OFC Oostzaan 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Blauw Geel 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 HV & CV Quick 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Kozakken Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 URK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Excelsior '31 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Dongen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Rijnvogels 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 TEC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 GVVV Veenendaal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 FC Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Groene Ster 2 1 0 1 +0 3
21 AFC Amsterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Hsc 21 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 RKAV Volendam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Harkemase Boys 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 GVV Unitas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 DEM 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 VVOG 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 OJC Rosmalen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 ASWH 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Gemert 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Dovo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 ACV 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Sparta Nijkerk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 JOS Watergraafsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Noordwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Barendrecht 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -3 0
46 FC Lisse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
47 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 UDI '19 1 0 0 1 -4 0
49 Ter Leede 1 0 0 1 -4 0
50 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

Referee

I Oostrom · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.