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League Cup
Referee: O Mackey
Salford City
U U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Shrewsbury
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salford City Shrewsbury
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%
21 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Crawley Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Cambridge United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Walsall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Rochdale 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Barnet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Wrexham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 York 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salford City Shrewsbury
-5′
🟨 George Lloyd
Matt Butcher 🟨
13′
Half-time 0–1
47′
J. Davison 0–1
60′
🟨 Sam Stubbs
K. Malcolm 🔁
↦ L. Molyneux
62′
J. Grant 🔁
↦ M. Butcher
62′
R. Graydon 🔁
↦ K. Cesay
63′
Adebola Oluwo 🟨
68′
A. Odoh 🔁
↦ K. N'Mai
71′
72′
🔁 J. Price
↦ W. Gray
73′
🟨 Sam Stubbs
73′
🟥 Sam Stubbs
73′
🔁 J. Gbode
↦ J. Davison
75′
🔁 L. Hoole
↦ I. Fletcher
1–1 K. Malcolm
77′
78′
🔁 J. Turner-Cooke
↦ G. Lloyd
D. Udoh 🔁
↦ H. Carson
88′
91′
🟨 Arkell Jude-Boyd
Will Aimson 🟥
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Salford City

4-2-3-1
1 W. Norris G
20 O. Turton D
22 A. Oluwo D
4 W. Aimson D
33 H. Carson D
18 M. Butcher M
6 J. Powell M
43 L. Molyneux M
21 K. Cesay M
10 K. N'Mai M
9 M. Langstaff F
Bench (9)
12 S. Long
15 B. Cooper
17 J. Austerfield
30 K. Malcolm
8 J. Grant
23 D. Udoh
19 R. Graydon
14 A. Odoh
3 Z. Awe

Coach: Karl Robinson

Shrewsbury

1 W. Brook G
6 S. Stubbs D
5 W. Boyle D
3 J. Ruffels D
17 A. Jude-Boyd M
10 T. Sang M
21 W. Gray M
11 K. Berkoe M
8 I. Fletcher F
13 J. Davison F
9 G. Lloyd F
Bench (9)
12 S. Proctor
2 L. Hoole
7 J. Turner-Cooke
4 I. England
19 J. Price
22 B. Pendleton
27 J. Gbode
23 I. Lee
46 H. Aiston

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.