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League Cup
Referee: N Hair
Grimsby
T S S S T
1–3
Full-time
Blackpool
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grimsby Blackpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
13 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Crawley Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Cambridge United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Walsall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Rochdale 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Barnet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Wrexham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 York 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grimsby Blackpool
3′
N. Ennis 0–1
33′
🔁 K. Kouassi
↦ I. Niskanen
Half-time 0–1
55′
🟨 Jordan Lee Williams
58′
J. Bowler 0–2
I. Morgan 🔁
↦ J. Amaluzor
61′
71′
🔁 A. Morgan
↦ H. Coulson
C. Doyle 🔁
↦ J. Walker
74′
J. Andrews 🔁
↦ K. Green
75′
82′
🔁 G. Honeyman
↦ J. Brown
82′
🔁 L. Clarkson
↦ K. Anderson
82′
🔁 A. Lyons
↦ N. Ennis
1–2 H. Rodgers
G. D. Turi
90′
90′
K. Kouassi 1–3
K. Catchpole 🔁
↦ G. D. Turi
94′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Grimsby

4-1-4-1
31 C. Pym G
5 H. Rodgers D
2 M. Kacurri D
17 C. McJannet D
3 J. Sweeney D
15 G. D. Turi M
14 J. Amaluzor M
4 K. Green M
7 J. Walker M
30 C. Vernam M
39 A. Cook F
Bench (9)
41 S. Auton
6 S. Lavelle
19 J. Andrews
9 I. Morgan
8 C. Doyle
12 J. Foulkes
23 H. Brown
35 E. Smith
18 K. Catchpole

Coach: David Artell

Blackpool

4-3-1-2
1 B. Peacock-Farrell G
28 J. Williams D
4 O. Casey D
3 Z. Ashworth D
21 I. Niskanen D
11 J. Bowler M
6 J. Brown M
15 H. Coulson M
17 K. Anderson M
22 C. Hamilton F
9 N. Ennis F
Bench (9)
43 C. Brier
8 A. Morgan
27 K. Kouassi
29 T. Upton
10 G. Honeyman
7 L. Clarkson
2 A. Lyons
41 B. Whaite
46 O. Hunter

Coach: Ian Evatt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.