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Champions League
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Man City
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
FK Crvena Zvezda
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

4,13 xG 0,78
76% Possession 24%
37 Shots 3
16 Shots on target 2
10 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 13
12 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Man City FK Crvena Zvezda
Rodri 🟨
24′
32′
🟨 Milan Rodić
J. Doku 🔁
↦ Bernardo Silva
44′
45′
⚽ O. Bukari 0–1
M. Ivanić
Half-time 0–1
47′
ℹ️ Osman Bukari
VAR: Goal confirmed
1–1 J. Álvarez ⚽
E. Haaland
47′
Rúben Dias 🟨
56′
M. Akanji 🔁
↦ Sergio Gómez
58′
2–1 J. Álvarez ⚽
60′
68′
🔁 P. Olayinka
↦ M. Ivanić
68′
🔁 J. Krasso
↦ C. Ndiaye
3–1 Rodri ⚽
P. Foden
73′
77′
🔁 V. Lučić
↦ S. Mitrović
82′
🟨 Marko Stamenić
82′
🔁 K. Kangwa
↦ Hwang In-Beom
O. Bobb 🔁
↦ P. Foden
83′
R. Lewis 🔁
↦ Rúben Dias
83′
K. Phillips 🔁
↦ Rodri
83′
83′
🔁 M. Degenek
↦ O. Bukari
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Man City

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson G
2 K. Walker D
3 Rúben Dias D
6 N. Aké D
21 Sergio Gómez D
27 Matheus Nunes M
16 Rodri M
20 Bernardo Silva M
19 J. Álvarez M
47 P. Foden M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (8)
11 J. Doku
25 M. Akanji
52 O. Bobb
82 R. Lewis
4 K. Phillips
24 J. Gvardiol
33 S. Carson
18 S. Ortega

Coach: Pep Guardiola

FK Crvena Zvezda

5-3-2
18 O. Glazer G
33 S. Mijailović D
24 N. Djiga D
15 A. Dragović D
23 M. Rodić D
80 S. Mitrović D
66 Hwang In-Beom M
6 M. Stamenić M
4 M. Ivanić M
30 O. Bukari F
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (12)
14 P. Olayinka
17 J. Krasso
37 V. Lučić
20 K. Kangwa
3 M. Degenek
70 U. Kabić
1 Z. Popović
27 N. Vasiljević
10 A. Katai
8 G. Kanga
19 N. Milunović
5 U. Spajić

Coach: B. Bakhar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.