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NM-cupen
Referee: O Nilsen
Molde
T S S S T
1–2
Full-time
Bodo/Glimt
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Bodo/Glimt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,8
Scored
2,0
2,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — NM-cupen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Molde 43. · Bodo/Glimt 25.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromsdalen Uil 3 3 0 0 +16 9
2 Bjarg 3 3 0 0 +8 9
3 Aalesund 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Lillestrom 3 3 0 0 +5 9
5 Egersund 3 3 0 0 +3 9
6 Kjelsås 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Kongsvinger 3 2 0 1 +6 6
8 Levanger 3 2 0 1 +4 6
9 Sandnes ULF 3 2 0 1 +4 6
10 Lysekloster 3 2 0 1 +4 6
11 Mjondalen 3 2 0 1 +3 6
12 Stabaek 3 2 0 1 +3 6
13 Lyn 3 2 0 1 +3 6
14 Eik-Tønsberg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
15 hodd 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 Strommen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 Brattvåg 3 1 1 1 +1 4
18 Odd 3 1 1 1 +0 4
19 Brann 1 1 0 0 +4 3
20 Ham-Kam 1 1 0 0 +4 3
21 Rosenborg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Follo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
23 Hønefoss 2 1 0 1 +2 3
24 Vard 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 Bodo/Glimt 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 KFUM Oslo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Viking 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Tromso 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Fredrikstad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Bryne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Arendal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Stjørdals-Blink 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Asker 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 Start 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 Moss 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Trygg/Lade 2 1 0 1 -1 3
37 Ulfstind 2 1 0 1 -2 3
38 Junkeren 2 1 0 1 -2 3
39 Gamle Oslo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
40 Asane 2 1 0 1 -2 3
41 Sarpsborg 08 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Stromsgodset 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Molde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Sotra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Djerv 2 0 1 1 -4 1
46 Alta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Jerv 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Strindheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Gneist 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Kristiansund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Valerenga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Ranheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Flekkerøy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Eidsvold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Madla 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Flint 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Grorud 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Rana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Pors Grenland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Ull/Kisa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Sogndal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Førde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Haugesund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Træff 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Lørenskog 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Vidar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Skeid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Raufoss 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Sandviken 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Vigør 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Notodden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Brumunddal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
76 Vestfossen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
77 Sandefjord 1 0 0 1 -5 0
78 Bærum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
79 Nardo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
80 Finnsnes 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Bodo/Glimt
32′
S. Auklend 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 U. Saltnes
↦ S. Fet
J. Christensen 🟨
54′
60′
🔁 K. Hogh
↦ O. Blomberg
60′
🔁 F. Bjorkan
↦ A. Helmersen
E. Hestad 🔁
↦ F. Gulbrandsen
64′
H. Stenevik 🔁
↦ E. Haugan
64′
1–1 E. Breivik
E. Hestad
69′
73′
S. Auklend 1–2
K. Hogh
V. Hoff 🔁
↦ J. Christensen
75′
T. Kone-Doherty 🔁
↦ V. Bender
75′
79′
🔁 D. Bassi
↦ J. Hauge
86′
🟨 S. Auklend
S. Granaas 🔁
↦ C. Zady
87′
87′
🔁 A. Klynge
↦ I. Maatta
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Molde

1 M. Kikkenborg
19 E. Haugan
4 S. Hansen
33 B. Risa
26 S. Kabini
14 J. Christensen
28 V. Bender
20 K. Eriksen
16 E. Breivik
11 C. Zady
8 F. Gulbrandsen
Bench (9)
12 P. Lervik
3 C. Oyvann
5 E. Hestad
6 I. Amundsen
9 J. Abdullai
15 V. Hoff
18 H. Stenevik
23 S. Granaas
24 T. Kone-Doherty

Coach: Magne Hoseth

Bodo/Glimt

1 J. Lund
20 F. Sjovold
4 O. L. Bjortuft
5 H. Aleesami
25 I. Maatta
8 S. Auklend
7 P. Berg
19 S. Fet
11 O. Blomberg
21 A. Helmersen
10 J. Hauge
Bench (9)
45 I. Sjong
6 J. Gundersen
9 K. Hogh
14 U. Saltnes
15 F. Bjorkan
22 A. Klynge
23 M. Riisnaes
24 D. Bassi
26 H. Evjen

Coach: Kjetil Knutsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Nilsen · 75 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.