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Champions League
Referee: I Kruzliak
Bodo/Glimt
S S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodo/Glimt Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 12/8 matches
Win Ø 53%
42%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
92%
88%
Both score Ø 86%
83%
88%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,1
2,1
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,78 xG 0,61
49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bodo/Glimt Sp Lisbon
20′
🟨 Morten Hjulmand
1–0 S. Fet ⚽
32′
Jostein Gundersen 🟨
44′
2–0 O. Blomberg ⚽
45′
Half-time 2–0
63′
🔁 N. Santos
↦ G. Vagiannidis
63′
🔁 S. Faye
↦ G. Catamo
63′
🔁 H. Morita
↦ J. Simoes
3–0 K. Hogh ⚽
J. Hauge
71′
I. Maatta 🔁
↦ O. Blomberg
75′
Kasper Høgh 🟨
76′
U. Saltnes 🔁
↦ S. Fet
79′
A. Helmersen 🔁
↦ K. Hogh
79′
79′
🔁 D. Braganca
↦ Luis Guilherme
S. Auklend 🔁
↦ H. Evjen
87′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
12 N. Haikin G
20 F. Sjovold D
4 O. L. Bjortuft D
6 J. Gundersen D
15 F. Bjorkan D
26 H. Evjen M
7 P. Berg M
19 S. Fet M
11 O. Blomberg F
9 K. Hogh F
10 J. Hauge F
Bench (12)
45 I. Sjong
1 J. Lund
14 U. Saltnes
25 I. Maatta
22 A. Klynge
8 S. Auklend
24 D. Bassi
5 H. Aleesami
21 A. Helmersen
94 A. Mikkelsen
23 M. Riisnaes
2 V. Nielsen

Coach: Kjetil Knutsen

Sp Lisbon

4-2-3-1
1 R. Silva G
13 G. Vagiannidis D
26 O. Diomande D
25 G. Inacio D
22 I. Fresneda D
42 M. Hjulmand M
52 J. Simoes M
10 G. Catamo M
17 Trincao M
31 Luis Guilherme M
97 L. Suarez F
Bench (11)
12 J. Virginia
41 Diego Callai
23 D. Braganca
72 E. Quaresma
11 N. Santos
15 S. Faye
90 R. Nel
45 D. Moreira
58 F. Goncalves
5 H. Morita
6 Z. Debast

Coach: Rui Borges

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kruzliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.