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Europa League
Referee: Juxhin Xhaja
Sturm Graz
T S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Brann
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/11 matches
Win Ø 30%
14%
45%
Points per game
0,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
57%
55%
Both score Ø 40%
43%
36%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,85 xG 2,29
51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 4
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sturm Graz Brann
Emanuel Aiwu 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
Otar Kiteishvili ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
58′
Emir Karić 🟨
61′
S. Jatta 🔁
↦ A. Kayombo
66′
Arjan Malić 🟨
70′
76′
🔁 V. Dragsnes
↦ F. Knudsen
J. Mitchell 🔁
↦ A. Malic
78′
F. Rozga 🔁
↦ L. Weinhandl
78′
B. Beganovic 🔁
↦ M. Malone
78′
81′
🔁 B. Finne
↦ M. Haaland
81′
🔁 M. Sande
↦ T. Pedersen
1–0 O. Kiteishvili ⚽
85′
N. Geyrhofer 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
53 D. Khudyakov G
23 A. Malic D
47 E. Aiwu D
5 T. Oermann D
17 E. Karic D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovic M
39 L. Weinhandl M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
77 M. Malone F
11 A. Kayombo F
Bench (10)
40 M. Bignetti
32 C. Wiener-Pucher
2 J. Mitchell
8 F. Rozga
14 K. Bendra
20 S. Jatta
25 S. Hierlander
26 B. Beganovic
35 N. Geyrhofer
43 J. Hodl

Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
21 D. De Roeve D
3 F. Knudsen D
4 N. Boakye D
17 J. Soltvedt D
23 T. Pedersen M
18 J. Sorensen M
8 F. Myhre M
14 U. Mathisen F
29 N. Holm F
32 M. Haaland F
Bench (8)
24 M. Klausen
7 M. Hansen
11 B. Finne
20 V. Dragsnes
27 M. Sande
39 J. Laegreid
40 J. Eikrem
41 L. Remmem

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.