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Europa League
Referee: Georgi Kabakov
Brann
U T U S T
3–3
Full-time
Midtjylland
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,2
Scored
0,8
2,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 10/12 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 40%
30%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,4
2,3
Conceded
0,9
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

3,32 xG 1,86
50% Possession 50%
23 Shots 10
11 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 8
11 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Brann Midtjylland
4′
⚽ M. Erlic 0–1
P. Billing
1–1 N. Holm ⚽
D. De Roeve
19′
31′
⚽ Junior Brumado 1–2
Half-time 1–2
49′
🟨 Philip Billing
52′
🔁 P. Bravo
↦ P. Billing
F. Myhre 🔁
↦ M. Haaland
59′
63′
🔁 D. Osorio
↦ V. Byskov
65′
🟨 Darío Osorio
2–2 E. Kornvig ⚽
68′
70′
⚽ M. Erlic 2–3
Lee Han-Beom
B. Finne 🔁
↦ T. Pedersen
76′
J. Soltvedt 🔁
↦ V. Dragsnes
76′
85′
🔁 E. Chilufya
↦ A. Simsir
3–3 J. Soltvedt ⚽
90′
Joachim Soltvedt ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
97′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Brann

4-4-2
1 M. Dyngeland G
21 D. De Roeve D
3 F. Knudsen D
4 N. Boakye D
20 V. Dragsnes D
10 E. Kornvig M
18 J. Sorensen M
23 T. Pedersen M
32 M. Haaland M
14 U. Mathisen F
29 N. Holm F
Bench (9)
24 M. Klausen
7 M. Hansen
8 F. Myhre
11 B. Finne
17 J. Soltvedt
27 M. Sande
39 J. Laegreid
40 J. Eikrem
41 L. Remmem

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Midtjylland

4-4-2
16 E. Olafsson G
3 Lee Han-Beom D
6 M. Erlic D
22 M. Bech Sorensen D
55 V. Bak D
21 D. Castillo M
20 V. Byskov M
8 P. Billing M
58 A. Simsir M
74 Junior Brumado F
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
Bench (11)
1 J. Lossl
60 M. Ugboh
4 O. Diao
11 D. Osorio
14 E. Chilufya
19 P. Bravo
33 A. Djabi
35 B. Konteh
43 K. Mbabu
48 M. Pimpong
80 Dani Silva

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.