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Championship
Referee: T Nield
Norwich
S T S S U
4–0
Full-time
Hull
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,83 xG 0,99
57% Possession 43%
19 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 10. · Hull 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sunderland 9 6 1 2 +10 +2.9 19
2 Sheffield United 8 5 3 0 +7 +3.7 18
3 Burnley 8 5 2 1 +10 +1.8 17
4 Leeds 9 4 4 1 +8 +8.8 16
5 West Brom 8 5 1 2 +6 +5.3 16
6 Blackburn 8 4 3 1 +5 +0.9 15
7 Middlesbrough 8 4 2 2 +4 +8.0 14
8 Watford 8 4 1 3 -1 -3.3 13
9 Hull 8 3 3 2 +3 +0.2 12
10 Norwich 8 3 3 2 +2 +2.9 12
11 Oxford 8 3 2 3 +2 -2.2 11
12 Swansea 8 3 2 3 +2 -4.4 11
13 Bristol City 8 2 4 2 -4 +1.2 10
14 Derby 8 3 0 5 -2 -1.8 9
15 Stoke 8 3 0 5 -2 -1.9 9
16 Millwall 8 2 2 4 +1 +6.5 8
17 Coventry 8 2 2 4 -2 +3.2 8
18 Plymouth 8 2 2 4 -4 -9.4 8
19 Sheffield Weds 8 2 2 4 -5 -2.3 8
20 Luton 8 2 2 4 -5 +2.0 8
21 Preston 8 2 2 4 -5 -5.4 8
22 QPR 8 1 4 3 -5 -1.7 7
23 Portsmouth 8 0 4 4 -11 -8.4 4
24 Cardiff 8 1 1 6 -14 -6.5 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Hull
14′
🟨 Mohamed Belloumi
1–0 M. Núñez
Borja Sainz
16′
2–0 J. Sargent
Borja Sainz
20′
Marcelino Núñez 🟨
24′
Half-time 2–0
G. Long 🔁
↦ A. Gunn
46′
46′
🔁 C. Hughes
↦ S. McLoughlin
Josh Sargent
penalty missed
56′
57′
🟨 Cody Drameh
K. Gordon 🔁
↦ A. Crnac
58′
62′
🔁 S. Alzate
↦ Ó. Zambrano
62′
🔁 R. Giles
↦ C. Drameh
3–0 K. Gordon
66′
O. Schwartau 🔁
↦ A. Ben Slimane
70′
72′
🔁 João Pedro
↦ C. Bedia
72′
🔁 A. Kamara
↦ L. Millar
76′
🟨 João Pedro Galvão
Oscar Schwartau 🟨
77′
4–0 Borja Sainz
C. Doyle
78′
J. Stacey 🔁
↦ Borja Sainz
80′
E. Marcondes 🔁
↦ J. Sargent
81′
90′
🟨 Lewie Coyle
Kaide Gordon 🟨
94′
Kenny McLean 🟨
95′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Norwich

4-2-3-1
1 A. Gunn G
35 K. Fisher D
4 S. Duffy D
33 J. Córdoba D
6 C. Doyle D
26 M. Núñez M
23 K. McLean M
17 A. Crnac M
20 A. Ben Slimane M
7 Borja Sainz M
9 J. Sargent F
Bench (9)
12 G. Long
21 K. Gordon
29 O. Schwartau
3 J. Stacey
11 E. Marcondes
5 G. Hanley
40 B. Hills
41 G. Forsyth
18 A. Forson

Coach: J. Thorup

Hull

4-3-3
1 I. Pandur G
2 L. Coyle D
5 A. Jones D
6 S. McLoughlin D
23 C. Drameh D
27 R. Slater M
8 M. Mehlem M
25 Ó. Zambrano M
33 M. Belloumi F
9 C. Bedia F
7 L. Millar F
Bench (9)
4 C. Hughes
19 S. Alzate
3 R. Giles
12 João Pedro
44 A. Kamara
18 X. Simons
48 M. Burstow
22 C. Rushworth
45 K. Palmer

Coach: T. Walter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,00
U
3,73
B
3,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,18
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Nield · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.