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Ekstraklasa
Referee: M Szczerbowicz
1–2
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,04 xG 0,47
33% Possession 67%
10 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
14 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Radomiak Radom 12. · Gornik Zabrze 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 3 3 0 0 +5 -1.0 9
2 Widzew Lodz 3 2 1 0 +3 -0.0 7
3 Piast Gliwice 3 2 1 0 +3 +1.3 7
4 Lech Poznan 3 2 0 1 +3 +2.5 6
5 Legia 3 2 0 1 +2 +1.8 6
6 Rakow 3 2 0 1 +2 +2.5 6
7 Pogon Szczecin 3 1 1 1 +2 -0.1 4
8 Motor Lublin 3 1 1 1 +0 +1.5 4
9 Cracovia 3 1 1 1 -1 -3.5 4
10 Gornik Zabrze 3 1 1 1 -1 +0.2 4
11 Zaglebie 3 1 1 1 -1 -1.7 4
12 Radomiak Radom 2 1 0 1 +0 +2.9 3
13 GKS Katowice 3 1 0 2 -1 -1.4 3
14 Slask Wroclaw 2 0 1 1 -2 +1.3 1
15 Puszcza 3 0 1 2 -3 -0.7 1
16 Stal Mielec 3 0 1 2 -3 +0.4 1
17 Lechia Gdansk 3 0 1 2 -4 -2.4 1
18 Korona Kielce 3 0 1 2 -4 -3.6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Radomiak Radom Gornik Zabrze
Capita 🔁
↦ Vagner
7′
30′
🟨 Kamil Lukoszek
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Zahović
↦ Ł. Podolski
46′
🔁 N. Wojtuszek
↦ K. Lukoszek
1–0 Leândro
58′
63′
🔁 D. Szala
↦ Manu Sánchez
65′
🟨 Luka Zahović
R. Wolski 🔁
↦ Leândro
70′
Bruno Jordão 🔁
↦ R. Alves
70′
73′
L. Zahović 1–1
E. Janža
C. Donis 🔁
↦ Luizão
79′
R. Məmmədov 🔁
↦ D. Jakubik
79′
81′
N. Wojtuszek 1–2
L. Ambros
85′
🔁 T. Ismaheel
↦ L. Zahović
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Radomiak Radom

4-4-2
1 M. Kikolski G
24 Z. Ouattara D
29 Raphael Rossi D
16 M. Cichocki D
14 D. Jakubik D
7 Peglow M
8 Luizão M
10 R. Alves M
70 Vagner M
17 Leonardo Rocha F
9 Leândro F
Bench (9)
11 Capita
27 R. Wolski
6 Bruno Jordão
77 C. Donis
4 R. Məmmədov
20 R. Cielemęcki
18 K. Okoniewski
99 Guilherme Zimovski
44 W. Koptas

Coach: Bruno Baltazar

Gornik Zabrze

4-2-3-1
25 M. Szromnik G
22 Manu Sánchez D
26 R. Janicki D
20 Josema D
64 E. Janža D
6 D. Rasak M
23 Filipe Nascimento M
18 L. Ambros M
10 Ł. Podolski M
17 K. Lukoszek M
44 A. Buksa F
Bench (9)
7 L. Zahović
15 N. Wojtuszek
27 D. Szala
11 T. Ismaheel
5 K. Szcześniak
1 F. Majchrowicz
8 P. Hellebrand
30 N. Zielonka
16 P. Olkowski

Coach: J. Urban

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Szczerbowicz · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.