Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 24 |
| 2 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |
Rakow
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 17 |
| 6 |
Radomiak Radom
|
12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |
Cracovia
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +0 | 16 |
| 8 |
Jagiellonia
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +0 | 16 |
| 9 |
Stal Mielec
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 |
Zaglebie
|
10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 |
Piast Gliwice
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |
Wisla
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |
Wisla Plock
|
11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 13 |
| 14 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 15 |
Legia
|
9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Nieciecza
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 |
Warta Poznan
|
11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 | Leczna | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -20 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Legia
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Slask Wroclaw
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Wisla
Rakow
Lech Poznan
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.