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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Malec
Wisla Plock
U T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wisla Plock Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/19 matches
Win Ø 46%
44%
47%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
61%
42%
Both score Ø 55%
67%
42%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wisla Plock 8. · Lech Poznan 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 20 14 4 2 +24 46
2 Legia 19 11 5 3 +7 38
3 Lech Poznan 19 9 6 4 +6 33
4 Widzew Lodz 20 9 5 6 +5 32
5 Pogon Szczecin 19 8 6 5 +2 30
6 Stal Mielec 20 8 5 7 +2 29
7 Cracovia 19 8 4 7 +7 28
8 Wisla Plock 18 8 4 6 +4 28
9 Radomiak Radom 19 8 3 8 -1 27
10 Warta Poznan 18 7 5 6 +2 26
11 Slask Wroclaw 20 6 7 7 -6 25
12 Lechia Gdansk 20 6 4 10 -11 22
13 Gornik Zabrze 19 5 6 8 -4 21
14 Jagiellonia 19 4 8 7 -1 20
15 Zaglebie 19 5 5 9 -12 20
16 Piast Gliwice 19 4 5 10 -5 17
17 Korona Kielce 20 4 5 11 -9 17
18 Legnica 19 3 5 11 -10 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wisla Plock Lech Poznan
20′
R. Murawski 0–1
Kristián Vallo 🟨
32′
Adam Chrzanowski 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–1
51′
🟨 Jesper Karlström
52′
🟨 Radosław Murawski
Steve Kapuadi 🟨
58′
D. Warchoł 🔁
↦ R. Cielemęcki
58′
P. Chrupałła 🔁
↦ K. Vallo
58′
61′
🔁 Afonso Sousa
↦ F. Marchwiński
61′
🔁 K. Velde
↦ M. Skóraś
Jakub Rzeźniczak 🟥
71′
75′
🔁 A. Ba Loua
↦ F. Szymczak
A. Pawlak 🔁
↦ D. Rasak
77′
M. Lewandowski 🔁
↦ M. Kolar
77′
77′
🔁 A. Sobiech
↦ M. Ishak
78′
🟨 Alan Czerwiński
T. Walczak 🔁
↦ A. Chrzanowski
83′
86′
ℹ️ Artur Sobiech
VAR: Penalty cancelled
87′
🟨 Bartosz Salamon
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Wisla Plock

3-4-3
1 K. Kamiński G
25 J. Rzeźniczak D
3 S. Kapuadi D
4 A. Chrzanowski D
19 M. Šulek M
6 D. Rasak M
8 D. Furman M
15 K. Vallo M
7 R. Cielemęcki F
24 M. Kolar F
10 R. Wolski F
Bench (9)
95 D. Warchoł
37 P. Chrupałła
89 A. Pawlak
17 M. Lewandowski
99 T. Walczak
21 I. Drapiński
23 F. Lesniak
27 M. Kvocera
69 B. Gradecki

Coach: P. Staňo

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
35 F. Bednarek G
2 Joel Pereira D
18 B. Salamon D
25 F. Dagerstål D
44 A. Czerwiński D
22 R. Murawski M
6 J. Karlström M
17 F. Szymczak M
11 F. Marchwiński M
21 M. Skóraś M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (9)
7 Afonso Sousa
23 K. Velde
50 A. Ba Loua
90 A. Sobiech
77 D. Holec
14 G. Tsitaishvili
5 Pedro Rebocho
16 A. Milić
30 N. Kvekveskiri

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Malec · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.