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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Jakubik
Korona Kielce
T U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Cracovia
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
17%
44%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
44%
11%
Both score Ø 39%
61%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
17 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Korona Kielce 18. · Cracovia 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 19 14 3 2 +24 45
2 Legia 19 11 5 3 +7 38
3 Lech Poznan 19 9 6 4 +6 33
4 Widzew Lodz 19 9 4 6 +5 31
5 Pogon Szczecin 19 8 6 5 +2 30
6 Cracovia 18 8 4 6 +8 28
7 Wisla Plock 18 8 4 6 +4 28
8 Stal Mielec 19 8 4 7 +2 28
9 Radomiak Radom 19 8 3 8 -1 27
10 Warta Poznan 18 7 5 6 +2 26
11 Slask Wroclaw 19 6 6 7 -6 24
12 Gornik Zabrze 19 5 6 8 -4 21
13 Lechia Gdansk 19 6 3 10 -11 21
14 Jagiellonia 19 4 8 7 -1 20
15 Zaglebie 19 5 5 9 -12 20
16 Piast Gliwice 19 4 5 10 -5 17
17 Legnica 19 3 5 11 -10 14
18 Korona Kielce 18 3 4 11 -10 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Korona Kielce Cracovia
Nono 🟨
25′
1–0 P. Malarczyk
A. Deja
30′
Half-time 1–0
M. Szpakowski 🔁
↦ A. Deja
46′
46′
🔁 T. Oshima
↦ J. Atanasov
52′
🟨 Takuto Oshima
2–0 J. Łukowski
56′
61′
🔁 O. Kakabadze
↦ C. Râpă
62′
🔁 P. Makuch
↦ Y. Konoplyanka
64′
ℹ️ Virgil Ghiță
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Miłosz Trojak 🟨
65′
66′
K. Knap 2–1
B. Śpiączka 🔁
↦ E. Shikavka
67′
D. Takáč 🔁
↦ R. Deaconu
67′
73′
🟨 Paweł Jaroszyński
M. Godinho 🔁
↦ J. Podgórski
79′
82′
🟨 David Jablonsky
83′
🔁 J. Myszor
↦ D. Jablonský
87′
🔁 M. Bochnak
↦ M. Rakoczy
J. Kiełb 🔁
↦ J. Łukowski
90′
Marcel Zapytowski 🟨
95′
Marius Briceag 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Korona Kielce

4-1-4-1
73 M. Zapytowski G
2 D. Zator D
4 P. Malarczyk D
66 M. Trojak D
5 M. Briceag D
22 A. Deja M
6 J. Podgórski M
13 R. Deaconu M
11 Nono M
7 J. Łukowski M
99 E. Shikavka F
Bench (9)
20 M. Szpakowski
18 B. Śpiączka
8 D. Takáč
28 M. Godinho
10 J. Kiełb
90 K. Petrov
33 S. Balić
1 K. Forenc
17 D. Błanik

Coach: K. Kuzera

Cracovia

3-4-3
23 K. Niemczycki G
24 J. Jugas D
85 D. Jablonský D
5 V. Ghiță D
2 C. Râpă M
6 J. Atanasov M
20 K. Knap M
4 P. Jaroszyński M
10 Y. Konoplyanka F
9 B. Källman F
11 M. Rakoczy F
Bench (9)
18 T. Oshima
25 O. Kakabadze
71 P. Makuch
38 J. Myszor
17 M. Bochnak
36 K. Jodłowski
22 A. Hoskonen
3 M. Sipľak
31 L. Hroššo

Coach: J. Zieliński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Jakubik · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.