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DBU Pokalen

Thisted FC

T S T S S

1–2

Full-time

Fredericia

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thisted FC Fredericia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DBU Pokalen · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

6,0

Scored

3,0

4,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Thisted FC 14. · Fredericia 34. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aarhus Fremad	4	3	0	1	+12	9
2	Hobro	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Esbjerg	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Brønshøj	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Lyseng	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Odense	2	2	0	0	+14	6
7	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+11	6
8	VSK Århus	3	2	0	1	+8	6
9	Holbæk B&I	2	2	0	0	+8	6
10	Viborg	2	2	0	0	+7	6
11	Roskilde	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Silkeborg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+6	6
15	Hillerød	3	2	0	1	+5	6
16	HIK	3	2	0	1	+5	6
17	Sundby	3	2	0	1	+3	6
18	Aalborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
19	Ringsted	3	2	0	1	+2	6
20	Oksbøl	3	2	0	1	+1	6
21	Hvidovre IF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	Kolding B	3	2	0	1	-1	6
23	B 93	2	1	1	0	+10	4
24	Odder	2	1	1	0	+2	4
25	GVI	2	1	1	0	+2	4
26	AB Copenhagen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
27	Lyngby	3	1	1	1	-1	4
28	Vejle	1	1	0	0	+6	3
29	Skjold Sæby	2	1	0	1	+5	3
30	Vejgaard B	2	1	0	1	+5	3
31	Vanløse	2	1	0	1	+4	3
32	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	FC Nakskov	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Skive	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Aarhus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	FC Horsens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Farsø/Ullits	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Middelfart	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	BSI	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Horsens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	FA 2000	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Tune	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Skanderborg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	Ishøj	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Bramming	2	1	0	1	-3	3
50	Mejrup	2	1	0	1	-3	3
51	Marstal / Rise	2	1	0	1	-4	3
52	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	-4	3
53	Silkeborg KFUM	3	1	0	2	-7	3
54	Raklev	2	1	0	1	-8	3
55	FC Kalundborg	2	1	0	1	-10	3
56	LSF	2	0	2	0	+0	2
57	Frem	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Nykobing FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	HB Koge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	OKS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Tved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Næsby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	TRIF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	FC Helsingor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Sønderborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Stenløse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Holstebro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Skovsgård	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Rudersdal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Fredensborg BI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Skødstrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Billund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	BK Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Grenaa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Skibsby-Hojene	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	KFUM Odense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Frem Sakskøbing	1	0	0	1	-5	0
95	Norager	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Husum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
97	Viktoria	1	0	0	1	-5	0
98	Øresund OKF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
99	Vallensbæk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
100	Snejbjerg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
101	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
102	Ålholm	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ringsted	3	2	0	1	+2	6
2	Oksbøl	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Lyseng	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Bramming	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ishøj	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Hvidovre IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Farsø/Ullits	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	BSI	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Skanderborg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Sundby	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Mejrup	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Marstal / Rise	2	1	0	1	-4	3
16	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	-4	3
17	Raklev	2	1	0	1	-8	3
18	FC Kalundborg	2	1	0	1	-10	3
19	LSF	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	GVI	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	AB Copenhagen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	OKS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Næsby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Middelfart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Aarhus Fremad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Vejgaard B	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	FC Helsingor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Tune	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Holstebro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Skovsgård	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Rudersdal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Fredensborg BI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Skive	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Skødstrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Aalborg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	BK Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Grenaa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Skibsby-Hojene	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	KFUM Odense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	Frem Sakskøbing	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Norager	1	0	0	1	-5	0
59	Husum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
60	Kolding B	1	0	0	1	-5	0
61	Viktoria	1	0	0	1	-5	0
62	Øresund OKF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
63	FC Horsens	1	0	0	1	-5	0
64	Vallensbæk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
65	Snejbjerg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
66	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
67	Silkeborg KFUM	2	0	0	2	-10	0
68	Ålholm	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aarhus Fremad	3	3	0	0	+13	9
2	Hobro	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Esbjerg	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Odense	2	2	0	0	+14	6
5	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+11	6
6	VSK Århus	3	2	0	1	+8	6
7	Viborg	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Roskilde	3	2	0	1	+6	6
9	Aalborg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Hillerød	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Silkeborg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
12	HIK	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+6	6
15	Kolding B	2	2	0	0	+4	6
16	B 93	2	1	1	0	+10	4
17	Brønshøj	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	Lyseng	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Lyngby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+6	3
21	Vejle	1	1	0	0	+6	3
22	Vejgaard B	1	1	0	0	+6	3
23	Skjold Sæby	2	1	0	1	+5	3
24	FC Horsens	1	1	0	0	+5	3
25	Sundby	1	1	0	0	+5	3
26	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+5	3
27	Vanløse	2	1	0	1	+4	3
28	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Odder	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	AB Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	GVI	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Aarhus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Hvidovre IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Tune	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	FA 2000	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Frem	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Nykobing FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	HB Koge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Tved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	TRIF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Sønderborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Stenløse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Billund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Ishøj	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Bramming	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.