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DBU Pokalen
Aarhus Fremad
S T S S S
1–2
Full-time
Hobro
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Fremad Hobro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,2
3,3
Scored
3,2
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,3
This season — DBU Pokalen · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
5,7
4,5
Scored
5,0
3,5
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+4,3
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aarhus Fremad 1. · Hobro 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aarhus Fremad 3 3 0 0 +13 9
2 Esbjerg 3 3 0 0 +3 9
3 Brønshøj 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Lyseng 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Odense 2 2 0 0 +14 6
6 Sonderjyske 2 2 0 0 +11 6
7 VSK Århus 3 2 0 1 +8 6
8 Holbæk B&I 2 2 0 0 +8 6
9 Oksbøl 2 2 0 0 +7 6
10 Roskilde 3 2 0 1 +6 6
11 Silkeborg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
12 Kolding IF 2 2 0 0 +6 6
13 Thisted FC 2 2 0 0 +6 6
14 Hillerød 3 2 0 1 +5 6
15 HIK 3 2 0 1 +5 6
16 Hobro 2 2 0 0 +5 6
17 Sundby 3 2 0 1 +3 6
18 Aalborg 3 2 0 1 +3 6
19 Ringsted 3 2 0 1 +2 6
20 Hvidovre IF 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 Kolding B 3 2 0 1 -1 6
22 B 93 2 1 1 0 +10 4
23 Odder 2 1 1 0 +2 4
24 GVI 2 1 1 0 +2 4
25 AB Copenhagen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
26 Lyngby 2 1 1 0 +1 4
27 Vejle 1 1 0 0 +6 3
28 Skjold Sæby 2 1 0 1 +5 3
29 Vejgaard B 2 1 0 1 +5 3
30 Vanløse 2 1 0 1 +4 3
31 Midtjylland 1 1 0 0 +3 3
32 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Skive 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Aarhus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Randers FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Viborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 FC Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Farsø/Ullits 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Middelfart 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 BSI 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 FA 2000 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Tune 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Skanderborg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 Ishøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 B 1909 2 1 0 1 -2 3
48 Bramming 2 1 0 1 -3 3
49 Mejrup 2 1 0 1 -3 3
50 Marstal / Rise 2 1 0 1 -4 3
51 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 -4 3
52 Silkeborg KFUM 3 1 0 2 -7 3
53 Raklev 2 1 0 1 -8 3
54 FC Kalundborg 2 1 0 1 -10 3
55 LSF 2 0 2 0 +0 2
56 Frem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Nykobing FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 OKS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Tved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Næsby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Marienlyst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 TRIF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 FC Helsingor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Sønderborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Stenløse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Skovsgård 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Fredensborg BI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Skødstrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Billund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 BK Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Grenaa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Skibsby-Hojene 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 BiH Odense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Norager 1 0 0 1 -5 0
95 Husum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Viktoria 1 0 0 1 -5 0
97 Øresund OKF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
98 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
99 Snejbjerg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
100 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
101 Ålholm 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Fremad Hobro
16′
M. Bruhn 0–1
25′
🟨 R. Hauge
1–1 F. Grube
43′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Nielsen
↦ M. Jacobsen
L. Callo 🔁
↦ F. Grube
62′
M. Kirchheiner 🔁
↦ E. Nissen
62′
62′
🔁 S. Andreasen
↦ M. Bruhn
62′
🔁 O. Klitten
↦ L. Klitten
62′
🔁 V. Rasmussen
↦ Z. Hyltoft
66′
V. Rasmussen 1–2
M. Kubel 🔁
↦ C. Nygaard
73′
K. Andersen 🔁
↦ K. Lunding
73′
81′
🔁 F. Dietz
↦ R. Hauge
M. Agnarsson 🔁
↦ B. Rolland
83′
91′
🟨 F. Dietz
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Aarhus Fremad

30 V. Hojbjerg
6 F. Grube
5 E. Nissen
19 B. Rolland
21 M. de Claville Berthelsen
23 O. Andreasen
15 C. Nygaard
20 O. Hjaltason
70 J. Beluli
16 A. Holvad
11 K. Lunding
Bench (9)
1 K. Kiilerich
24 J. Thorsen
33 L. Callo
18 M. Falk
42 J. Ostergaard
3 M. Agnarsson
27 M. Kirchheiner
17 M. Kubel
9 K. Andersen

Coach: Morten Dahm Kjaergaard

Hobro

1 A. Sondergaard
27 L. Klitten
18 E. Sogaard
12 M. Jacobsen
34 G. Bjerge
5 M. Kannegaard
11 R. Hauge
26 T. Hansen
17 Z. Hyltoft
8 M. Pedersen
23 M. Bruhn
Bench (9)
13 F. Dietz
9 S. Andreasen
7 O. Klitten
22 M. Nielsen
40 M. Boye
43 A. Nathan
47 A. Bryld
10 V. Rasmussen
25 J. Dakir

Coach: Jens Gjesing

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.