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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Damian Sylwestrzak
Legia
S U T S U
0–0
Full-time
Jagiellonia
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
43%
71%
Points per game
1,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,4
3,4
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
20 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 6
19 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legia 7. · Jagiellonia 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 6 0 3 +7 -0.2 18
2 Cracovia 8 5 2 1 +7 +2.5 17
3 Wisla Plock 8 5 1 2 +5 +6.2 16
4 Jagiellonia 7 5 1 1 +4 -2.5 16
5 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 +4 -2.1 15
6 Lech Poznan 8 4 2 2 +1 +6.0 14
7 Legia 7 3 2 2 +5 +3.6 11
8 Radomiak Radom 9 3 2 4 -1 -0.1 11
9 Lechia Gdansk 9 3 2 4 -4 -2.9 11
10 Zaglebie 8 2 4 2 +3 -1.8 10
11 Widzew Lodz 9 3 1 5 +1 +2.2 10
12 Motor Lublin 8 2 4 2 -3 -1.0 10
13 Pogon Szczecin 9 3 1 5 -4 +2.0 10
14 Nieciecza 9 2 3 4 -2 -0.2 9
15 Arka Gdynia 9 2 3 4 -5 -3.8 9
16 Rakow 8 2 2 4 -4 -0.3 8
17 GKS Katowice 9 2 1 6 -10 -6.8 7
18 Piast Gliwice 7 0 4 3 -4 -0.7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Jagiellonia
Petar Stojanović 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Afimico Pululu
Half-time 0–0
K. Urbanski 🔁
↦ P. Stojanovic
46′
N. Weisshaupt 🔁
↦ V. Bichakhchyan
62′
62′
🔁 S. Lozano
↦ D. Drachal
62′
🔁 K. Jozwiak
↦ A. Pozo
69′
🟨 Bernardo Vital
73′
🟨 Kamil Jóźwiak
76′
🔁 Y. Sylla
↦ J. Imaz
R. Vinagre 🔁
↦ A. Reca
87′
E. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ B. Kapustka
87′
89′
🔁 A. Cantero
↦ O. Pietuszewski
89′
🔁 L. Flach
↦ A. Pululu
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Legia

4-3-2-1
1 K. Tobiasz G
7 P. Wszolek D
91 K. Piatkowski D
3 S. Kapuadi D
13 A. Reca D
67 B. Kapustka M
44 D. Szymanski M
22 J. Elitim M
21 V. Bichakhchyan M
30 P. Stojanovic M
29 M. Rajovic F
Bench (12)
27 G. Kobylak
8 R. Augustyniak
11 K. Chodyna
12 R. Pankov
14 A. Colak
19 R. Vinagre
20 J. Zewlakow
53 W. Urbanski
82 K. Urbanski
55 A. Jedrzejczyk
77 E. Krasniqi
99 N. Weisshaupt

Coach: Edward Marius Iordănescu

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1
50 S. Abramowicz G
15 N. Wojtuszek D
13 B. Vital D
70 A. Pelmard D
27 B. Wdowik D
6 T. Romanczuk M
8 D. Drachal M
7 A. Pozo M
11 J. Imaz M
80 O. Pietuszewski M
10 A. Pululu F
Bench (12)
22 M. Piekutowski
3 D. Stojinovic
4 Y. Kobayashi
9 D. Rallis
17 Y. Sylla
18 L. Prip
19 A. Cantero
21 S. Lozano
25 A. Jackson
31 L. Flach
72 K. Jozwiak
86 B. Mazurek

Coach: Adrian Siemieniec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Damian Sylwestrzak · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.