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Puchar Polski

Flota Świnoujście

1–1

Full-time

Jastrzębie

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Polonia Bytom	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Hutnik Kraków	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Świt Skolwin	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Olimpia Grudziądz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Goczałkowice Zdrój B	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Jastrzębie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Gryf Słupsk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Małapanew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Polonia Warszawa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Korona Kielce II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Beskid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Hutnik Kraków	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Goczałkowice Zdrój B	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Gryf Słupsk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Świt Skolwin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Małapanew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Korona Kielce II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Beskid	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olimpia Grudziądz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Świt Skolwin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Jastrzębie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Hutnik Kraków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Polonia Warszawa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Flota Świnoujście Jastrzębie

Half-time 0–0

46′

🔁 B. Zielinski

↦ J. Tomal

46′

🔁 I. Kakolewski

↦ P. Gebala

51′

🟨 O. Jakuc

K. Zmudz 🔁

↦ D. Gil

66′

K. Kort 🔁

↦ A. Trzaskowski

66′

75′

🔁 L. Mozler

↦ M. Bykowski

1–0 K. Kasperowicz ⚽

80′

87′

⚽ B. Baranowicz 1–1

91′

🟨

95′

⚽ I. Kakolewski 1–2

100′

🔁 K. Bednorz

↦ W. Gromek

2–2 H. Turski ⚽

104′

117′

🔁 O. Winkler

↦ O. Jakuc

Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Flota Świnoujście

1 D. Krzysztofek

3 K. Kasperowicz

4 A. Trzaskowski

23 D. Gil

19 S. Cybulski

6 M. Graczyk

10 D. Chrominski

5 M. Jandziak

16 P. Paczuk

9 A. Stasiak

11 H. Turski

Bench (8)

2 M. Zawarski

7 P. Harkot

8 R. Dziuba

13 H. Hamid

21 S. Nakano

15 K. Zmudz

51 K. Kort

22 B. Walczak

Coach: Karol Szweda

Jastrzębie

1 M. Molga

2 J. Tomal

3 B. Kriegler

16 S. Mroczko

14 K. Gosciniarek

10 P. Gebala

22 B. Baranowicz

15 W. Gromek

23 M. Bykowski

17 K. Koczy

11 O. Jakuc

Bench (6)

31 B. Neugebauer

5 K. Bednorz

13 B. Zielinski

18 I. Kakolewski

24 O. Winkler

25 L. Mozler

Coach: Maciej Tarnogrodzki

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

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Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

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U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

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U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Flota Świnoujście

Jastrzębie

Odds comparison

Recent matches