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Ekstraklasa
Referee: M Szczerbowicz
Cracovia
T U U S T
0–1
Full-time
Slask Wroclaw
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Slask Wroclaw
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 44%
23%
64%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
31%
57%
Both score Ø 59%
54%
64%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
24 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Cracovia 15. · Slask Wroclaw 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Slask Wroclaw 14 9 3 2 +13 +4.1 30
2 Jagiellonia 14 9 2 3 +15 +6.2 29
3 Lech Poznan 14 8 4 2 +9 -3.4 28
4 Rakow 13 8 2 3 +14 +6.0 26
5 Pogon Szczecin 14 8 1 5 +12 +8.1 25
6 Legia 13 7 2 4 +3 +2.0 23
7 Zaglebie 14 6 2 6 -7 -0.9 20
8 Gornik Zabrze 14 5 4 5 -1 -6.8 19
9 Radomiak Radom 14 5 3 6 -1 +0.5 18
10 Warta Poznan 15 4 5 6 -2 -1.1 17
11 Piast Gliwice 14 2 10 2 +0 +10.6 16
12 Korona Kielce 13 3 6 4 +0 -0.9 15
13 Stal Mielec 14 4 3 7 -3 -6.1 15
14 Widzew Lodz 13 4 3 6 -3 -3.7 15
15 Cracovia 13 3 6 4 -5 -0.2 15
16 Puszcza 15 3 4 8 -12 -8.3 13
17 Ruch Chorzow 13 1 5 7 -11 -3.1 8
18 LKS Lodz 14 2 1 11 -21 -3.2 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Slask Wroclaw
15′
Nahuel Leiva 0–1
Andreas Skovgaard 🟨
25′
27′
🟨 Matías Nahuel
Half-time 0–1
J. Jugas 🔁
↦ J. Atanasov
46′
J. Myszor 🔁
↦ A. Skovgaard
46′
52′
🟥 Matías Nahuel
K. Śmiglewski 🔁
↦ B. Källman
70′
73′
🟨 Yegor Matsenko
M. Bochnak 🔁
↦ O. Kakabadze
73′
76′
🔁 P. Szwedzik
↦ P. Samiec-Talar
77′
🟨 Yegor Matsenko
77′
🟥 Yegor Matsenko
79′
🔁 A. Paluszek
↦ P. Olsen
Kacper Smiglewski 🟨
85′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cracovia

4-3-1-2
13 S. Madejski G
25 O. Kakabadze D
22 A. Hoskonen D
5 V. Ghiță D
3 A. Skovgaard D
20 K. Knap M
6 J. Atanasov M
18 T. Oshima M
10 M. Rakoczy M
7 P. Makuch F
9 B. Källman F
Bench (9)
24 J. Jugas
38 J. Myszor
21 K. Śmiglewski
17 M. Bochnak
73 P. Zaucha
36 K. Jodłowski
72 B. Kolec
2 C. Râpă
31 L. Hroššo

Coach: J. Zieliński

Slask Wroclaw

4-1-4-1
12 R. Leszczyński G
19 P. Janasik D
4 Ł. Bejger D
5 A. Petkov D
33 E. Matsenko
16 P. Pokorný M
24 P. Samiec-Talar M
8 P. Olsen M
17 P. Schwarz M
10 Nahuel Leiva M
9 Erik Expósito F
Bench (9)
21 P. Szwedzik
2 A. Paluszek
35 K. Trelowski
28 M. Rzuchowski
14 M. Wróblewski
3 C. Borthwick-Jackson
26 B. İnce
23 D. Łukasik
7 K. Zohorè

Coach: J. Magiera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Szczerbowicz · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.