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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Lasyk
Cracovia
U U U U S
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Radomiak Radom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,5
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 37%
43%
30%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
52%
57%
Both score Ø 70%
74%
65%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
5 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 6. · Radomiak Radom 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 23 15 2 6 +25 +9.9 47
2 Rakow 23 13 7 3 +17 +11.6 46
3 Jagiellonia 23 13 6 4 +15 +2.6 45
4 Pogon Szczecin 24 12 4 8 +10 +9.2 40
5 Legia 23 11 6 6 +14 +10.2 39
6 Cracovia 23 10 8 5 +9 -3.3 38
7 Motor Lublin 23 10 5 8 -5 -2.7 35
8 Gornik Zabrze 23 10 4 9 +2 +4.0 34
9 Piast Gliwice 23 8 9 6 +4 -1.7 33
10 Korona Kielce 24 8 8 8 -7 -2.6 32
11 GKS Katowice 23 8 6 9 +2 +2.1 30
12 Widzew Lodz 23 7 6 10 -11 -4.5 27
13 Radomiak Radom 23 7 4 12 -7 +0.7 25
14 Stal Mielec 23 6 5 12 -7 +3.9 23
15 Puszcza 24 5 7 12 -12 -13.6 22
16 Zaglebie 23 6 4 13 -16 -6.1 22
17 Lechia Gdansk 23 5 6 12 -16 -15.3 21
18 Slask Wroclaw 24 2 9 13 -17 -4.4 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Radomiak Radom
1–0 M. Maigaard
12′
41′
🟨 Abdoul Tapsoba
Half-time 1–1
51′
R. Wolski 1–1
R. Alves
54′
🔁 Z. Ouattara
↦ J. Grzesik
54′
🔁 R. Dadashov
↦ R. Alves
Benjamin Källman 🟨
55′
59′
🟨 Marco Burch
B. Biedrzycki 🔁
↦ F. Bzdyl
61′
P. Sokołowski 🔁
↦ D. Ólafsson
61′
F. Rózga 🔁
↦ M. van Buren
74′
74′
🔁 C. Donis
↦ A. Tapsoba
74′
🔁 Capita
↦ Bruno Jordão
M. Minchev 🔁
↦ A. Hasić
83′
83′
🔁 Chico Ramos
↦ M. Kaput
91′
R. Dadashov 1–2
R. Wolski
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-2-1
13 S. Madejski G
24 J. Jugas D
4 G. Henriksson D
5 V. Ghiță D
25 O. Kakabadze M
23 F. Bzdyl M
11 M. Maigaard M
19 D. Ólafsson M
14 A. Hasić F
9 B. Källman F
7 M. van Buren F
Bench (9)
16 B. Biedrzycki
88 P. Sokołowski
18 F. Rózga
10 M. Minchev
21 K. Śmiglewski
66 O. Wójcik
6 Amir Al Ammari
39 M. Perković
26 J. Burek

Coach: D. Kroczek

Radomiak Radom

4-2-3-1
1 M. Kikolski G
25 M. Burch D
74 S. Kingue D
5 S. Agouzoul D
23 Paulo Henrique D
6 Bruno Jordão M
28 M. Kaput M
13 J. Grzesik M
10 R. Alves M
27 R. Wolski M
15 A. Tapsoba F
Bench (9)
24 Z. Ouattara
17 R. Dadashov
77 C. Donis
11 Capita
88 Chico Ramos
7 Perotti
8 P. Golubickas
44 W. Koptas
33 K. Pestka

Coach: João Henriques

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Lasyk · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.