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Ekstraklasa
Referee: M Kochanek
GKS Katowice
T T T S T
2–0
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GKS Katowice Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 22%
31%
13%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
63%
56%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
69%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match GKS Katowice 11. · Lechia Gdansk 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 17 12 2 3 +20 +10.1 38
2 Jagiellonia 16 10 3 3 +7 -0.9 33
3 Rakow 16 9 5 2 +13 +9.8 32
4 Cracovia 17 9 3 5 +8 +0.0 30
5 Legia 16 8 4 4 +10 +8.6 28
6 Pogon Szczecin 16 8 1 7 +4 +6.6 25
7 Gornik Zabrze 16 7 3 6 +3 +5.3 24
8 Motor Lublin 16 7 3 6 -4 -1.1 24
9 Widzew Lodz 16 6 4 6 -1 -1.9 22
10 Piast Gliwice 17 5 6 6 +0 -3.2 21
11 GKS Katowice 16 5 4 7 +0 +0.5 19
12 Zaglebie 17 5 4 8 -8 -5.0 19
13 Stal Mielec 16 5 3 8 -4 +4.5 18
14 Puszcza 17 4 5 8 -9 -11.2 17
15 Korona Kielce 16 4 5 7 -10 -2.4 17
16 Radomiak Radom 15 5 1 9 -3 -1.7 16
17 Lechia Gdansk 16 2 5 9 -14 -16.2 11
18 Slask Wroclaw 16 1 7 8 -12 -2.0 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

GKS Katowice Lechia Gdansk
1′
🟨 Maksym Khlan
1–0 A. Jędrych
M. Wasielewski
14′
Adrian Błąd 🟨
36′
2–0 S. Bergier
A. Błąd
43′
Half-time 2–0
54′
🔁 K. Sezonienko
↦ A. Tsarenko
M. Kuusk 🔁
↦ A. Czerwiński
72′
M. Marzec 🔁
↦ M. Mak
72′
80′
🔁 S. Buletsa
↦ B. Viunnyk
80′
🔁 M. Kałahur
↦ M. Khlan
80′
🔁 T. Wójtowicz
↦ L. Guého
J. Arak 🔁
↦ S. Bergier
89′
91′
🔁 K. Wendt
↦ Conrado
J. Antczak 🔁
↦ A. Błąd
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

GKS Katowice

3-4-3
1 D. Kudła G
30 A. Czerwiński D
4 A. Jędrych D
6 L. Klemenz D
23 M. Wasielewski M
22 S. Milewski M
5 O. Repka M
8 Borja Galán M
11 A. Błąd F
7 S. Bergier F
10 M. Mak F
Bench (9)
2 M. Kuusk
17 M. Marzec
18 J. Arak
74 J. Antczak
14 A. Komor
13 B. Jaroszek
32 R. Strączek
28 A. Bród
77 M. Kowalczyk

Coach: R. Górak

Lechia Gdansk

4-3-3
29 B. Sarnavskyi G
94 L. Guého D
44 B. Pllana D
3 E. Olsson D
20 Conrado D
8 R. Kapič M
5 I. Zhelizko M
17 A. Tsarenko M
11 D. Piła F
9 B. Viunnyk F
30 M. Khlan F
Bench (9)
79 K. Sezonienko
19 S. Buletsa
23 M. Kałahur
33 T. Wójtowicz
6 K. Wendt
99 T. Neugebauer
1 S. Weirauch
4 A. Chindriş
16 L. D'Arrigo

Coach: R. Bella

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Kochanek · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.