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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Marciniak
Lechia Gdansk
T T U T U
0–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
13%
47%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 57%
73%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,04 xG 2,80
57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 8
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 16. · Pogon Szczecin 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 15 11 1 3 +18 +7.9 34
2 Jagiellonia 16 10 3 3 +7 -0.9 33
3 Rakow 15 9 4 2 +13 +9.3 31
4 Cracovia 15 9 2 4 +9 +0.7 29
5 Legia 15 7 4 4 +9 +7.5 25
6 Motor Lublin 16 7 3 6 -4 -1.1 24
7 Pogon Szczecin 15 7 1 7 +1 +4.9 22
8 Widzew Lodz 15 6 4 5 +1 -1.1 22
9 Gornik Zabrze 15 6 3 6 +2 +2.6 21
10 Piast Gliwice 15 5 5 5 +1 -0.5 20
11 GKS Katowice 15 5 4 6 +2 +2.7 19
12 Zaglebie 16 5 3 8 -8 -4.5 18
13 Radomiak Radom 14 5 1 8 -2 -1.1 16
14 Korona Kielce 15 4 4 7 -10 -1.8 16
15 Stal Mielec 15 4 3 8 -5 +3.9 15
16 Lechia Gdansk 15 2 5 8 -11 -14.4 11
17 Puszcza 15 2 5 8 -12 -11.9 11
18 Slask Wroclaw 15 1 7 7 -11 -2.0 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lechia Gdansk Pogon Szczecin
19′
E. Koulouris 0–1
40′
E. Koulouris 0–2
L. Koútris
Half-time 0–2
T. Wójtowicz 🔁
↦ M. Kałahur
46′
A. Tsarenko 🔁
↦ T. Neugebauer
46′
61′
🔁 João Gamboa
↦ A. Gorgon
K. Wendt 🔁
↦ K. Sezonienko
63′
72′
🔁 B. Zech
↦ J. Lis
72′
🔁 A. Przyborek
↦ V. Bichakhchyan
83′
E. Koulouris 0–3
84′
🔁 P. Paryzek
↦ E. Koulouris
85′
🔁 O. Korczakowski
↦ K. Grosicki
A. Kardaś 🔁
↦ M. Khlan
89′
L. D'Arrigo 🔁
↦ I. Zhelizko
89′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Lechia Gdansk

4-2-3-1
29 B. Sarnavskyi G
11 D. Piła D
44 B. Pllana D
3 E. Olsson D
23 M. Kałahur D
5 I. Zhelizko M
99 T. Neugebauer M
30 M. Khlan M
8 R. Kapič M
20 Conrado M
79 K. Sezonienko F
Bench (9)
33 T. Wójtowicz
17 A. Tsarenko
6 K. Wendt
42 A. Kardaś
16 L. D'Arrigo
4 A. Chindriş
19 S. Buletsa
94 L. Guého
1 S. Weirauch

Coach: S. Grabowski

Pogon Szczecin

4-3-3
77 V. Cojocaru G
17 J. Lis D
28 L. Wahlqvist D
4 Léo Borges D
32 L. Koútris D
19 K. Łukasiak M
8 F. Ulvestad M
20 A. Gorgon M
22 V. Bichakhchyan F
9 E. Koulouris F
11 K. Grosicki F
Bench (9)
21 João Gamboa
23 B. Zech
10 A. Przyborek
51 P. Paryzek
27 O. Korczakowski
46 A. Klukowski
35 M. Wojciechowski
31 K. Kamiński
25 W. Lisowski

Coach: R. Kolendowicz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Marciniak · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.